Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AC Milan vs Feyenoord

AC Milan vs Feyenoord prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-02-18 17:45
AC Milan
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
80%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Feyenoord
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
20%
2
31%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Yes
77%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

AC Milan (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate80%

Feyenoord (Away)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

AC Milan
DLLWW
Feyenoord
LLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%
40% +1.5 50%
20% +2.5 50%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
80% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 80%. Model confidence is High.

AC Milan averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Feyenoord averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
80%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
20%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Yes
77%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2025 AC Milan 1 - 1 Feyenoord Draw
Feb 2025 AC Milan(A) 0 - 1 Feyenoord Away

In the last 2 meetings, AC Milan won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

AC Milan — unbeaten run (home)4
AC Milan — scoring streak (home)5
Feyenoord — winless run (away)4
Feyenoord — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AC Milan Win (1)50%
Draw (X)20%
Feyenoord Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%
40% +1.5 50%
20% +2.5 50%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%
60% -1.5 50%
80% -2.5 50%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

AC Milan vs Feyenoord — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AC Milan — scored (home)1.6
AC Milan — conceded (home)1.2
Feyenoord — scored (away)2
Feyenoord — conceded (away)2.5
Model expected combined goals4.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes77%
No23%

Rate per Team

AC Milan — BTTS matches (home)80%
Feyenoord — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)90%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.572%
Under 7.528%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.525%
Under 10.575%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

AC Milan (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against3.6

Feyenoord (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against7.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AC Milan
10 9 9 11 7
Feyenoord
12 11 7 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.592%
Under 2.58%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

AC Milan (home)

For3.0

Feyenoord (away)

For1.5

Shots per Game

AC Milan — total shots (home)15.6
Feyenoord — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

AC Milan — on target (home)5.8
Feyenoord — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AC Milan

Inside the box8.9
Outside the box6

Feyenoord

Inside the box6.42
Outside the box3.92

Player Shots AC Milan

F. Camarda
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Rafael Leão
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
C. Pulišić
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. Abraham
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Reijnders
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Feyenoord

G. Trauner
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
Hugo Bueno
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
I. Osman
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Giménez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
A. Milambo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AC Milan xG (home)1.37
Feyenoord xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

53.1% Possession 42.25%

Team Comparison AC Milan vs Feyenoord

87.5% Pass accuracy 81.5%
484.8 Passes per match 386.42
-0.11 Goals prevented -0.17
10.6 Fouls committed 10
4.1 Goalkeeper saves 4.17
1.4 Offsides 1.67
14.9 Tackles per match 15.83

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AC Milan vs Feyenoord prediction analysis

Review AC Milan vs Feyenoord with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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