What markets are included in the AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda

AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-12-11 20:00

AC Milan

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

69%

Confidence

High

Score

2-0

FK Crvena Zvezda

Away

Prediction Summary

74%

15%

11%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

AC Milan (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6

Goals conceded / match1.2

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate80%

FK Crvena Zvezda (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8

Goals conceded / match2.6

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

AC Milan

DLLWW

FK Crvena Zvezda

WLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 80%

40% +1.5 0%

20% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

80% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is High.

AC Milan averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while FK Crvena Zvezda averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength

74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

74%

Draw

15%

Away Win

11%

Over 2.5

69%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 3

Dec 2024 AC Milan 2 - 1 FK Crvena Zvezda Home

Feb 2021 AC Milan 1 - 1 FK Crvena Zvezda Draw

Feb 2021 AC Milan(A) 2 - 2 FK Crvena Zvezda Draw

In the last 3 meetings, AC Milan won 1, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

AC Milan — unbeaten run (home)4

AC Milan — scoring streak (home)5

FK Crvena Zvezda — winless run (away)0

FK Crvena Zvezda — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AC Milan Win (1)74%

Draw (X)15%

FK Crvena Zvezda Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 80%

40% +1.5 0%

20% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 20%

60% -1.5 100%

80% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AC Milan — scored (home)1.6

AC Milan — conceded (home)1.2

FK Crvena Zvezda — scored (away)0.8

FK Crvena Zvezda — conceded (away)2.6

Model expected combined goals3.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

AC Milan — BTTS matches (home)80%

FK Crvena Zvezda — BTTS matches (away)60%

Combined (simple average)70%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.570%

Under 7.530%

Over 8.560%

Under 8.540%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

AC Milan (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against3.6

FK Crvena Zvezda (away)

Corners for4.6

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AC Milan

10 9 9 11 7

FK Crvena Zvezda

8 8 10 14 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.580%

Under 2.520%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

AC Milan (home)

For3.0

FK Crvena Zvezda (away)

For1.4

Shots per Game

AC Milan — total shots (home)15.6

FK Crvena Zvezda — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

AC Milan — on target (home)5.8

FK Crvena Zvezda — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AC Milan

Inside the box8.9

Outside the box6

FK Crvena Zvezda

Inside the box8

Outside the box4.3

Player Shots AC Milan

F. Camarda

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Rafael Leão

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

C. Pulišić

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target78%

+1.5 On Target33%

T. Abraham

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Reijnders

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots FK Crvena Zvezda

C. Ndiaye

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

M. Ivanić

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target29%

N. Radonjić

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target25%

S. Katompa Mvumpa

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

T. Elšnik

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AC Milan xG (home)1.37

FK Crvena Zvezda xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

53.1% Possession 43.2%

Team Comparison AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda

87.5% Pass accuracy 80.3%

484.8 Passes per match 372.2

-0.11 Goals prevented -0.41

10.6 Fouls committed 10.2

4.1 Goalkeeper saves 2.8

1.4 Offsides 2.4

14.9 Tackles per match 16.6

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction analysis

Review AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights