What markets are included in the AC Milan vs Genoa prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AC Milan vs Genoa prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AC Milan vs Genoa

AC Milan vs Genoa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-01-08 19:45

AC Milan

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

57%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Genoa

Away

Prediction Summary

51%

23%

26%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

AC Milan (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate53%

Genoa (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.32

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

AC Milan

LWLLD

Genoa

LLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 63%

37% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

AC Milan averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Genoa averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

51%

Draw

23%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 AC Milan(A) 2 - 1 Genoa Home

Jan 2026 AC Milan 1 - 1 Genoa Draw

May 2025 AC Milan(A) 2 - 1 Genoa Home

Dec 2024 AC Milan 0 - 0 Genoa Draw

May 2024 AC Milan 3 - 3 Genoa Draw

In the last 5 meetings, AC Milan won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

AC Milan — unbeaten run (home)0

AC Milan — scoring streak (home)2

Genoa — winless run (away)3

Genoa — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AC Milan Win (1)51%

Draw (X)23%

Genoa Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 63%

37% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 37%

63% -1.5 68%

89% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

AC Milan vs Genoa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AC Milan — scored (home)1.32

AC Milan — conceded (home)1.11

Genoa — scored (away)1

Genoa — conceded (away)1.32

Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

AC Milan — BTTS matches (home)53%

Genoa — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

AC Milan (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against3.7

Genoa (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AC Milan

4 5 4 8 10

Genoa

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

AC Milan (home)

For1.9

Genoa (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

AC Milan — total shots (home)16.1

Genoa — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

AC Milan — on target (home)4.9

Genoa — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AC Milan

Inside the box9.16

Outside the box4.08

Genoa

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box4.34

Player Shots AC Milan

C. Pulišić

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

Rafael Leão

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target24%

S. Giménez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target13%

Y. Fofana

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target0%

C. Nkunku

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Genoa

L. Colombo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target16%

Vítinha

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

R. Malinovskyi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target15%

L. Østigård

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target7%

T. Baldanzi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AC Milan xG (home)1.59

Genoa xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

51.84% Possession 48.71%

Team Comparison AC Milan vs Genoa

86.74% Pass accuracy 79.5%

483.74 Passes per match 387.29

0.2 Goals prevented 0.31

10.11 Fouls committed 12.37

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 2.92

1.92 Offsides 1.43

14.5 Tackles per match 17.34

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AC Milan vs Genoa prediction analysis

Review AC Milan vs Genoa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights