What markets are included in the AC Milan vs Hellas Verona prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AC Milan vs Hellas Verona prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AC Milan vs Hellas Verona

AC Milan vs Hellas Verona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-28 11:30

AC Milan

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Hellas Verona

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

25%

19%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

AC Milan (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate53%

Hellas Verona (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.74

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

AC Milan

LWLLD

Hellas Verona

LDLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 53%

37% +1.5 16%

11% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

AC Milan averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Hellas Verona averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

25%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 AC Milan(A) 1 - 0 Hellas Verona Home

Dec 2025 AC Milan 3 - 0 Hellas Verona Home

Feb 2025 AC Milan 1 - 0 Hellas Verona Home

Dec 2024 AC Milan(A) 1 - 0 Hellas Verona Home

Mar 2024 AC Milan(A) 3 - 1 Hellas Verona Home

In the last 5 meetings, AC Milan won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

AC Milan — unbeaten run (home)0

AC Milan — scoring streak (home)2

Hellas Verona — winless run (away)4

Hellas Verona — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AC Milan Win (1)55%

Draw (X)25%

Hellas Verona Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 53%

37% +1.5 16%

11% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 47%

63% -1.5 84%

89% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

AC Milan vs Hellas Verona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AC Milan — scored (home)1.32

AC Milan — conceded (home)1.11

Hellas Verona — scored (away)0.68

Hellas Verona — conceded (away)1.74

Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

AC Milan — BTTS matches (home)53%

Hellas Verona — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.584%

Under 5.516%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

AC Milan (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against3.7

Hellas Verona (away)

Corners for3.1

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AC Milan

4 5 4 8 10

Hellas Verona

6 15 14 12 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

AC Milan (home)

For1.9

Hellas Verona (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

AC Milan — total shots (home)16.1

Hellas Verona — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

AC Milan — on target (home)4.9

Hellas Verona — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AC Milan

Inside the box9.16

Outside the box4.08

Hellas Verona

Inside the box6.21

Outside the box4.89

Player Shots AC Milan

C. Pulišić

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

Rafael Leão

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target24%

S. Giménez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target13%

Y. Fofana

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target0%

C. Nkunku

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Hellas Verona

Giovane

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. Orban

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target29%

K. Bowie

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target21%

T. Suslov

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Frese

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AC Milan xG (home)1.59

Hellas Verona xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

51.84% Possession 40.13%

Team Comparison AC Milan vs Hellas Verona

86.74% Pass accuracy 74.21%

483.74 Passes per match 329.53

0.2 Goals prevented -0.07

10.11 Fouls committed 15.76

2.95 Goalkeeper saves 2.61

1.92 Offsides 1.75

14.5 Tackles per match 18.82

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AC Milan vs Hellas Verona prediction analysis

Review AC Milan vs Hellas Verona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights