What markets are included in the AC Milan vs Liverpool prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the AC Milan vs Liverpool prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: AC Milan vs Liverpool

AC Milan vs Liverpool prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

UEFA Champions League 2024-09-17 19:00

AC Milan

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Liverpool

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

26%

42%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

AC Milan (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6

Goals conceded / match1.2

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate80%

Liverpool (Away)

Goals scored / match1.6

Goals conceded / match0.8

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

AC Milan

DLLWW

Liverpool

LWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%

40% +1.5 40%

20% +2.5 20%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

80% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

AC Milan averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Liverpool averages 1.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

26%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 3

Sep 2024 AC Milan 1 - 3 Liverpool Away

Dec 2021 AC Milan 1 - 2 Liverpool Away

Sep 2021 AC Milan(A) 2 - 3 Liverpool Away

In the last 3 meetings, AC Milan won 0, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

AC Milan — unbeaten run (home)4

AC Milan — scoring streak (home)5

Liverpool — winless run (away)0

Liverpool — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AC Milan Win (1)32%

Draw (X)26%

Liverpool Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%

40% +1.5 40%

20% +2.5 20%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%

60% -1.5 60%

80% -2.5 80%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

AC Milan vs Liverpool — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AC Milan — scored (home)1.6

AC Milan — conceded (home)1.2

Liverpool — scored (away)1.6

Liverpool — conceded (away)0.8

Model expected combined goals2.6

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

AC Milan — BTTS matches (home)80%

Liverpool — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)60%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.5100%

Under 6.50%

Over 7.570%

Under 7.530%

Over 8.560%

Under 8.540%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

AC Milan (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against3.6

Liverpool (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AC Milan

10 9 9 11 7

Liverpool

13 6 10 16 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

AC Milan (home)

For3.0

Liverpool (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

AC Milan — total shots (home)15.6

Liverpool — total shots (away)13.2

Shots on Target

AC Milan — on target (home)5.8

Liverpool — on target (away)6.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AC Milan

Inside the box8.9

Outside the box6

Liverpool

Inside the box10.4

Outside the box4.2

Player Shots AC Milan

F. Camarda

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Rafael Leão

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

C. Pulišić

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target78%

+1.5 On Target33%

T. Abraham

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Reijnders

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Liverpool

D. Szoboszlai

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target11%

F. Chiesa

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target67%

T. Alexander-Arnold

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Díaz

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target22%

D. Núñez

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AC Milan xG (home)1.37

Liverpool xG (away)2.1

Average Possession

53.1% Possession 50.9%

Team Comparison AC Milan vs Liverpool

87.5% Pass accuracy 85.4%

484.8 Passes per match 508

-0.11 Goals prevented 0.32

10.6 Fouls committed 10.6

4.1 Goalkeeper saves 3.8

1.4 Offsides 1.4

14.9 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AC Milan vs Liverpool prediction analysis

Review AC Milan vs Liverpool with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights