Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AC Milan vs Venezia

AC Milan vs Venezia prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-08-30 16:30
AC Milan
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Venezia
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
26%
2
23%
+2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
47%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

AC Milan (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%

Venezia (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

AC Milan
LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 0%
37% +1.5 0%
11% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

AC Milan averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Venezia averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
26%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2025 AC Milan(A) 2 - 0 Venezia Home
Sep 2024 AC Milan 4 - 0 Venezia Home
Jan 2022 AC Milan(A) 3 - 0 Venezia Home
Sep 2021 AC Milan 2 - 0 Venezia Home

In the last 4 meetings, AC Milan won 4, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

AC Milan — unbeaten run (home)0
AC Milan — scoring streak (home)2

1X2 Probability model

AC Milan Win (1)51%
Draw (X)26%
Venezia Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 0%
37% +1.5 0%
11% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 100%
63% -1.5 100%
89% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

AC Milan vs Venezia — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AC Milan — scored (home)1.32
AC Milan — conceded (home)1.11
Venezia — scored (away)0
Venezia — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

AC Milan — BTTS matches (home)53%
Venezia — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)26.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

AC Milan (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against3.7

Venezia (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AC Milan
4 5 4 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.540%
Under 2.560%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

AC Milan (home)

For1.9

Venezia (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.87

AC Milan

Shots Over 9.584%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.559%
Expected shots15.36
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target4.96

Venezia

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.51
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.529%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.52

Shots per Game

AC Milan — total shots (home)16.1
Venezia — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

AC Milan — on target (home)4.9
Venezia — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AC Milan

Inside the box9.16
Outside the box4.08

Venezia

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots AC Milan

C. Pulišić
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target17%
Rafael Leão
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target24%
S. Giménez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
Y. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target0%
C. Nkunku
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Venezia

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AC Milan xG (home)1.59
Venezia xG (away)-

Average Possession

51.84% Possession -%

Team Comparison AC Milan vs Venezia

86.74% Pass accuracy 0%
483.74 Passes per match -
0.2 Goals prevented -
10.11 Fouls committed -
2.95 Goalkeeper saves -
1.92 Offsides -
14.5 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AC Milan vs Venezia prediction analysis

Review AC Milan vs Venezia with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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