Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Adana Demirspor vs Çorum FK

Adana Demirspor vs Çorum FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-08-16 18:30
Adana Demirspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
75%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Çorum FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
11%
X
14%
2
75%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Adana Demirspor (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match4.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%

Çorum FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Adana Demirspor
LLLLL
Çorum FK
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 76%
21% +1.5 43%
5% +2.5 19%
0% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 75%. Model confidence is High.

Adana Demirspor averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while Çorum FK averages 1.48 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
11%
Draw
14%
Away Win
75%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2026 Adana Demirspor(A) 1 - 4 Çorum FK Away
Aug 2025 Adana Demirspor 0 - 3 Çorum FK Away

In the last 2 meetings, Adana Demirspor won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Adana Demirspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Adana Demirspor — scoring streak (home)4
Çorum FK — winless run (away)0
Çorum FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Adana Demirspor Win (1)11%
Draw (X)14%
Çorum FK Win (2)75%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 76%
21% +1.5 43%
5% +2.5 19%
0% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 24%
79% -1.5 57%
95% -2.5 81%
100% -3.5 90%
100% -4.5 100%

Adana Demirspor vs Çorum FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Adana Demirspor — scored (home)0.84
Adana Demirspor — conceded (home)4.26
Çorum FK — scored (away)1.48
Çorum FK — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals3.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Adana Demirspor — BTTS matches (home)58%
Çorum FK — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.577%
Under 5.523%
Over 6.567%
Under 6.533%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.520%
Under 10.580%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Adana Demirspor (home)

Corners for1.8
Corners against5.9

Çorum FK (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Adana Demirspor
4 5 7 14 8
Çorum FK
10 10 8 17 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Adana Demirspor (home)

For1.7

Çorum FK (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Adana Demirspor — total shots (home)7.4
Çorum FK — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Adana Demirspor — on target (home)2.9
Çorum FK — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Adana Demirspor

Inside the box2.39
Outside the box3.71

Çorum FK

Inside the box8.9
Outside the box4.83

Player Shots Adana Demirspor

S. Kavrazlı
Shots on Target/Game2.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
Sefa Gülay
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Bolat
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Gokdeniz Tunc
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
Ahmet Yilmaz
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Çorum FK

Y. Erdoğan
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Pedrinho
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Samudio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Thiam
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Adana Demirspor xG (home)0.51
Çorum FK xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

37.5% Possession 59.1%

Team Comparison Adana Demirspor vs Çorum FK

75.16% Pass accuracy 83.48%
301.03 Passes per match 467.05
0 Goals prevented 0
8.47 Fouls committed 12.31
4.53 Goalkeeper saves 1.79
0.95 Offsides 2.48
14.55 Tackles per match 14.5

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Adana Demirspor vs Çorum FK prediction analysis

Review Adana Demirspor vs Çorum FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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