Prediction Analysis: Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor
Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
1. Lig
2025-12-01
17:00
Adana Demirspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
84%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Hatayspor
Away
Prediction Summary
1
21%
X
17%
2
63%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS Yes
78%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Adana Demirspor (Home)
Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match4.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%
Hatayspor (Away)
Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match3.16
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%
Team Form last 5 matches
Adana Demirspor
LLLLL
Hatayspor
WLDLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
58%
+0.5
58%
21%
+1.5
16%
5%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
58%
BTTS
58%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 84%. Model confidence is High.
Adana Demirspor averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while Hatayspor averages 0.79 goals scored away.
Model Strength
84%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
21%
Draw
17%
Away Win
63%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS Yes
78%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Adana Demirspor(A)
0 - 4
Hatayspor
Away
Dec 2025
Adana Demirspor
3 - 3
Hatayspor
Draw
May 2025
Adana Demirspor
0 - 5
Hatayspor
Away
Dec 2024
Adana Demirspor(A)
3 - 1
Hatayspor
Home
Jan 2024
Adana Demirspor
0 - 1
Hatayspor
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Adana Demirspor won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Adana Demirspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Adana Demirspor — scoring streak (home)4
Hatayspor — winless run (away)19
Hatayspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Adana Demirspor Win (1)21%
Draw (X)17%
Hatayspor Win (2)63%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
58%
+0.5
58%
21%
+1.5
16%
5%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
42%
-0.5
42%
79%
-1.5
84%
95%
-2.5
95%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Adana Demirspor — scored (home)0.84
Adana Demirspor — conceded (home)4.26
Hatayspor — scored (away)0.79
Hatayspor — conceded (away)3.16
Model expected combined goals4.64
Both Teams To Score
Yes78%
No22%
Rate per Team
Adana Demirspor — BTTS matches (home)58%
Hatayspor — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)58%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.576%
Under 5.524%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.553%
Under 7.547%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.529%
Under 9.571%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Adana Demirspor (home)
Corners for1.8
Corners against5.9
Hatayspor (away)
Corners for2.7
Corners against5.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Adana Demirspor
4
5
7
14
8
Hatayspor
4
7
4
9
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Adana Demirspor (home)
For1.7
Hatayspor (away)
For3.3
Shots per Game
Adana Demirspor — total shots (home)7.4
Hatayspor — total shots (away)6.9
Shots on Target
Adana Demirspor — on target (home)2.9
Hatayspor — on target (away)2.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Adana Demirspor
Inside the box2.39
Outside the box3.71
Hatayspor
Inside the box4.34
Outside the box3.21
Player Shots Adana Demirspor
S. Kavrazlı
Shots on Target/Game2.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
Sefa Gülay
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Bolat
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Gokdeniz Tunc
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
Ahmet Yilmaz
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target4%
Player Shots Hatayspor
J. Okoronkwo
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Ü. Durmuşhan
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target9%
F. Bamgboye
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Chaadaev
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
Deniz Aksoy
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target4%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Adana Demirspor xG (home)0.51
Hatayspor xG (away)0.88
Average Possession
37.5%
Possession
45.97%
Team Comparison Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor
75.16%
Pass accuracy
77.74%
301.03
Passes per match
352.79
0
Goals prevented
0
8.47
Fouls committed
12.61
4.53
Goalkeeper saves
4.05
0.95
Offsides
2.03
14.55
Tackles per match
14.41
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor prediction analysis
Review Adana Demirspor vs Hatayspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights