Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor

Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-12-29 11:30
Adana Demirspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
80%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
İstanbulspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
23%
X
18%
2
59%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Yes
75%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Adana Demirspor (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match4.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%

İstanbulspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Adana Demirspor
LLLLL
İstanbulspor
WWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 58%
21% +1.5 37%
5% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 80%. Model confidence is High.

Adana Demirspor averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while İstanbulspor averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
80%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
23%
Draw
18%
Away Win
59%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Yes
75%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Adana Demirspor(A) 1 - 8 İstanbulspor Away
Dec 2025 Adana Demirspor 1 - 5 İstanbulspor Away
May 2024 Adana Demirspor(A) 1 - 0 İstanbulspor Home
Jan 2024 Adana Demirspor 2 - 2 İstanbulspor Draw
May 2023 Adana Demirspor(A) 2 - 0 İstanbulspor Home

In the last 5 meetings, Adana Demirspor won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Adana Demirspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Adana Demirspor — scoring streak (home)4
İstanbulspor — winless run (away)0
İstanbulspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Adana Demirspor Win (1)23%
Draw (X)18%
İstanbulspor Win (2)59%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 58%
21% +1.5 37%
5% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 42%
79% -1.5 63%
95% -2.5 74%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Adana Demirspor — scored (home)0.84
Adana Demirspor — conceded (home)4.26
İstanbulspor — scored (away)1.32
İstanbulspor — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals4.26

Both Teams To Score

Yes75%
No25%

Rate per Team

Adana Demirspor — BTTS matches (home)58%
İstanbulspor — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.571%
Under 5.529%
Over 6.561%
Under 6.539%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Adana Demirspor (home)

Corners for1.8
Corners against5.9

İstanbulspor (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Adana Demirspor
4 5 7 14 8
İstanbulspor
4 19 6 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Adana Demirspor (home)

For1.7

İstanbulspor (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Adana Demirspor — total shots (home)7.4
İstanbulspor — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Adana Demirspor — on target (home)2.9
İstanbulspor — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Adana Demirspor

Inside the box2.39
Outside the box3.71

İstanbulspor

Inside the box7.55
Outside the box4.13

Player Shots Adana Demirspor

S. Kavrazlı
Shots on Target/Game2.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
Sefa Gülay
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Bolat
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Gokdeniz Tunc
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
Ahmet Yilmaz
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots İstanbulspor

Alieu Cham
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Fahri Kerem Ay
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Sol
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ö. Duymaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
E. Gültekin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Adana Demirspor xG (home)0.51
İstanbulspor xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

37.5% Possession 47.97%

Team Comparison Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor

75.16% Pass accuracy 78.5%
301.03 Passes per match 382.74
0 Goals prevented 0
8.47 Fouls committed 11.45
4.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.66
0.95 Offsides 1.86
14.55 Tackles per match 13.62

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor prediction analysis

Review Adana Demirspor vs İstanbulspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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