Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Adana Demirspor vs Keçiörengücü

Adana Demirspor vs Keçiörengücü prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-11-09 10:30
Adana Demirspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
75%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Keçiörengücü
Away

Prediction Summary

1
12%
X
15%
2
74%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Adana Demirspor (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match4.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%

Keçiörengücü (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.45
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Adana Demirspor
LLLLL
Keçiörengücü
LWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 80%
21% +1.5 35%
5% +2.5 25%
0% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 75%. Model confidence is High.

Adana Demirspor averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while Keçiörengücü averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
12%
Draw
15%
Away Win
74%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Adana Demirspor(A) 0 - 7 Keçiörengücü Away
Nov 2025 Adana Demirspor 2 - 7 Keçiörengücü Away
Apr 2021 Adana Demirspor 2 - 0 Keçiörengücü Home
Nov 2020 Adana Demirspor(A) 0 - 1 Keçiörengücü Away
Feb 2020 Adana Demirspor(A) 3 - 1 Keçiörengücü Home

In the last 5 meetings, Adana Demirspor won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Adana Demirspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Adana Demirspor — scoring streak (home)4
Keçiörengücü — winless run (away)1
Keçiörengücü — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Adana Demirspor Win (1)12%
Draw (X)15%
Keçiörengücü Win (2)74%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 80%
21% +1.5 35%
5% +2.5 25%
0% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 20%
79% -1.5 65%
95% -2.5 75%
100% -3.5 90%
100% -4.5 95%

Adana Demirspor vs Keçiörengücü — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Adana Demirspor — scored (home)0.84
Adana Demirspor — conceded (home)4.26
Keçiörengücü — scored (away)1.65
Keçiörengücü — conceded (away)1.45
Model expected combined goals3.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Adana Demirspor — BTTS matches (home)58%
Keçiörengücü — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.574%
Under 5.526%
Over 6.559%
Under 6.541%
Over 7.546%
Under 7.554%
Over 8.536%
Under 8.564%
Over 9.531%
Under 9.569%
Over 10.521%
Under 10.579%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Adana Demirspor (home)

Corners for1.8
Corners against5.9

Keçiörengücü (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Adana Demirspor
4 5 7 14 8
Keçiörengücü
12 10 13 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.567%
Under 2.533%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Adana Demirspor (home)

For1.7

Keçiörengücü (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Adana Demirspor — total shots (home)7.4
Keçiörengücü — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Adana Demirspor — on target (home)2.9
Keçiörengücü — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Adana Demirspor

Inside the box2.39
Outside the box3.71

Keçiörengücü

Inside the box8.62
Outside the box4.67

Player Shots Adana Demirspor

S. Kavrazlı
Shots on Target/Game2.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
Sefa Gülay
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Bolat
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Gokdeniz Tunc
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
Ahmet Yilmaz
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Keçiörengücü

E. Rroca
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Diouf
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Fernándes
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
F. Ezeh
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Adana Demirspor xG (home)0.51
Keçiörengücü xG (away)2.19

Average Possession

37.5% Possession 47.69%

Team Comparison Adana Demirspor vs Keçiörengücü

75.16% Pass accuracy 79.13%
301.03 Passes per match 348.64
0 Goals prevented 0
8.47 Fouls committed 13.28
4.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.44
0.95 Offsides 2.51
14.55 Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Adana Demirspor vs Keçiörengücü prediction analysis

Review Adana Demirspor vs Keçiörengücü with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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