Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Adana Demirspor vs Sarıyer

Adana Demirspor vs Sarıyer prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-09-29 17:00
Adana Demirspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
70%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Sarıyer
Away

Prediction Summary

1
13%
X
16%
2
71%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Adana Demirspor (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match4.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%

Sarıyer (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Adana Demirspor
LLLLL
Sarıyer
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 47%
21% +1.5 21%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
58% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is High.

Adana Demirspor averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while Sarıyer averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
13%
Draw
16%
Away Win
71%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2026 Adana Demirspor(A) 0 - 5 Sarıyer Away
Sep 2025 Adana Demirspor 0 - 3 Sarıyer Away

In the last 2 meetings, Adana Demirspor won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Adana Demirspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Adana Demirspor — scoring streak (home)4
Sarıyer — winless run (away)0
Sarıyer — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Adana Demirspor Win (1)13%
Draw (X)16%
Sarıyer Win (2)71%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 47%
21% +1.5 21%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 53%
79% -1.5 79%
95% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Adana Demirspor vs Sarıyer — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Adana Demirspor — scored (home)0.84
Adana Demirspor — conceded (home)4.26
Sarıyer — scored (away)0.84
Sarıyer — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals3.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Adana Demirspor — BTTS matches (home)58%
Sarıyer — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.574%
Under 5.526%
Over 6.556%
Under 6.544%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.526%
Under 10.574%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Adana Demirspor (home)

Corners for1.8
Corners against5.9

Sarıyer (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Adana Demirspor
4 5 7 14 8
Sarıyer
5 7 6 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Adana Demirspor (home)

For1.7

Sarıyer (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Adana Demirspor — total shots (home)7.4
Sarıyer — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Adana Demirspor — on target (home)2.9
Sarıyer — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Adana Demirspor

Inside the box2.39
Outside the box3.71

Sarıyer

Inside the box6.84
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Adana Demirspor

S. Kavrazlı
Shots on Target/Game2.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
Sefa Gülay
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Bolat
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Gokdeniz Tunc
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
Ahmet Yilmaz
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Sarıyer

A. Urie
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. Sol
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Kulašin
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Adana Demirspor xG (home)0.51
Sarıyer xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

37.5% Possession 47.79%

Team Comparison Adana Demirspor vs Sarıyer

75.16% Pass accuracy 80.71%
301.03 Passes per match 384.29
0 Goals prevented 0
8.47 Fouls committed 11.08
4.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.53
0.95 Offsides 2.4
14.55 Tackles per match 12.89

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Adana Demirspor vs Sarıyer prediction analysis

Review Adana Demirspor vs Sarıyer with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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