Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Adana Demirspor vs Vanspor FK

Adana Demirspor vs Vanspor FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-10-25 10:30
Adana Demirspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
High
Score
0-2
Vanspor FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
6%
X
13%
2
82%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Adana Demirspor (Home)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match4.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%

Vanspor FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Adana Demirspor
LLLLL
Vanspor FK
LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 63%
21% +1.5 32%
5% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 5%
58% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is High.

Adana Demirspor averages 0.84 goals scored at home, while Vanspor FK averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
82%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
6%
Draw
13%
Away Win
82%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Adana Demirspor(A) 0 - 1 Vanspor FK Away
Oct 2025 Adana Demirspor 2 - 4 Vanspor FK Away

In the last 2 meetings, Adana Demirspor won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Adana Demirspor — unbeaten run (home)0
Adana Demirspor — scoring streak (home)4
Vanspor FK — winless run (away)1
Vanspor FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Adana Demirspor Win (1)6%
Draw (X)13%
Vanspor FK Win (2)82%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 63%
21% +1.5 32%
5% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 37%
79% -1.5 68%
95% -2.5 74%
100% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 95%

Adana Demirspor vs Vanspor FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Adana Demirspor — scored (home)0.84
Adana Demirspor — conceded (home)4.26
Vanspor FK — scored (away)1.42
Vanspor FK — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals3.3

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Adana Demirspor — BTTS matches (home)58%
Vanspor FK — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.576%
Under 5.524%
Over 6.561%
Under 6.539%
Over 7.547%
Under 7.553%
Over 8.537%
Under 8.563%
Over 9.529%
Under 9.571%
Over 10.521%
Under 10.579%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Adana Demirspor (home)

Corners for1.8
Corners against5.9

Vanspor FK (away)

Corners for2.9
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Adana Demirspor
4 5 7 14 8
Vanspor FK
12 8 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Adana Demirspor (home)

For1.7

Vanspor FK (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Adana Demirspor — total shots (home)7.4
Vanspor FK — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Adana Demirspor — on target (home)2.9
Vanspor FK — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Adana Demirspor

Inside the box2.39
Outside the box3.71

Vanspor FK

Inside the box6.95
Outside the box4.76

Player Shots Adana Demirspor

S. Kavrazlı
Shots on Target/Game2.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
Sefa Gülay
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Bolat
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Gokdeniz Tunc
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
Ahmet Yilmaz
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Vanspor FK

Muhammed Çoksu
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
Iván Cédric
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Hostikka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Bilal
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
Sabahattin Destici
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Adana Demirspor xG (home)0.51
Vanspor FK xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

37.5% Possession 54.89%

Team Comparison Adana Demirspor vs Vanspor FK

75.16% Pass accuracy 79.58%
301.03 Passes per match 397.71
0 Goals prevented 0
8.47 Fouls committed 14.92
4.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.89
0.95 Offsides 2
14.55 Tackles per match 15.05

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Adana Demirspor vs Vanspor FK prediction analysis

Review Adana Demirspor vs Vanspor FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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