Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: ADO Den Haag vs Groningen

ADO Den Haag vs Groningen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2026-08-16 10:15
ADO Den Haag
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Groningen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
34%
X
25%
2
42%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

ADO Den Haag (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Groningen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.61
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Groningen
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 78%
0% +1.5 44%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

ADO Den Haag averages 0 goals scored at home, while Groningen averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
34%
Draw
25%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2024 ADO Den Haag 0 - 2 Groningen Away
Sep 2023 ADO Den Haag(A) 1 - 0 Groningen Home
Jan 2021 ADO Den Haag(A) 0 - 3 Groningen Away
Sep 2020 ADO Den Haag 0 - 1 Groningen Away
Dec 2019 ADO Den Haag 1 - 1 Groningen Draw

In the last 5 meetings, ADO Den Haag won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Groningen — winless run (away)1
Groningen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

ADO Den Haag Win (1)34%
Draw (X)25%
Groningen Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 78%
0% +1.5 44%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 22%
100% -1.5 56%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

ADO Den Haag vs Groningen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

ADO Den Haag — scored (home)0
ADO Den Haag — conceded (home)0
Groningen — scored (away)1.22
Groningen — conceded (away)1.61
Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

ADO Den Haag — BTTS matches (home)0%
Groningen — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)28%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

ADO Den Haag (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Groningen (away)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Groningen
6 13 11 14 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.547%
Under 1.553%
Over 2.534%
Under 2.566%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

ADO Den Haag (home)

For—

Groningen (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.68

ADO Den Haag

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.26
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.17

Groningen

Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.553%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.42
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.59

Shots per Game

ADO Den Haag — total shots (home)—
Groningen — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

ADO Den Haag — on target (home)—
Groningen — on target (away)5.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

ADO Den Haag

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Groningen

Inside the box9.29
Outside the box6.29

Player Shots ADO Den Haag

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Groningen

Y. Taha
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. van Bergen
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
B. Willumsson
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%
D. van der Werff
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Schreuders
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

ADO Den Haag xG (home)-
Groningen xG (away)1.71

Average Possession

-% Possession 50.43%

Team Comparison ADO Den Haag vs Groningen

0% Pass accuracy 78.97%
- Passes per match 419.23
- Goals prevented -0.22
- Fouls committed 10.74
- Goalkeeper saves 2.85
- Offsides 1.69
- Tackles per match 16.34

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

ADO Den Haag vs Groningen prediction analysis

Review ADO Den Haag vs Groningen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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