Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis

AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 1 2026-09-05 15:00
AEK Athens FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
AEK Athens FC
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Aris Thessalonikis
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
26%
2
17%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

AEK Athens FC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match0.44
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate31%

Aris Thessalonikis (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

AEK Athens FC
DDWDW
Aris Thessalonikis
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 75%
50% +1.5 19%
31% +2.5 0%
19% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
31% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

AEK Athens FC averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Aris Thessalonikis averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
26%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 AEK Athens FC(A) 1 - 1 Aris Thessalonikis Draw
Nov 2025 AEK Athens FC 1 - 0 Aris Thessalonikis Home
Mar 2025 AEK Athens FC(A) 0 - 0 Aris Thessalonikis Draw
Dec 2024 AEK Athens FC(A) 1 - 1 Aris Thessalonikis Draw
Nov 2024 AEK Athens FC 4 - 0 Aris Thessalonikis Home

In the last 5 meetings, AEK Athens FC won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

AEK Athens FC — unbeaten run (home)12
AEK Athens FC — scoring streak (home)12
Aris Thessalonikis — winless run (away)0
Aris Thessalonikis — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AEK Athens FC Win (1)58%
Draw (X)26%
Aris Thessalonikis Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 75%
50% +1.5 19%
31% +2.5 0%
19% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 25%
50% -1.5 81%
69% -2.5 100%
81% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AEK Athens FC — scored (home)1.94
AEK Athens FC — conceded (home)0.44
Aris Thessalonikis — scored (away)0.94
Aris Thessalonikis — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals2.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

AEK Athens FC — BTTS matches (home)31%
Aris Thessalonikis — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)40.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

AEK Athens FC (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Aris Thessalonikis (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

AEK Athens FC (home)

For—

Aris Thessalonikis (away)

For—

Shots per Game

AEK Athens FC — total shots (home)—
Aris Thessalonikis — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

AEK Athens FC — on target (home)—
Aris Thessalonikis — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AEK Athens FC

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Aris Thessalonikis

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis prediction analysis

Review AEK Athens FC vs Aris Thessalonikis with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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