Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: AEK Larnaca vs Brann

AEK Larnaca vs Brann prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-08-27 16:30
AEK Larnaca
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Brann
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
26%
2
22%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

AEK Larnaca (Home)

Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate50%

Brann (Away)

Goals scored / match1.14
Goals conceded / match0.71
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

AEK Larnaca
LLLWW
Brann
LLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 57%
50% +1.5 29%
25% +2.5 14%
25% +3.5 14%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

AEK Larnaca averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Brann averages 1.14 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
26%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 AEK Larnaca 0 - 4 Brann Away
Aug 2025 AEK Larnaca(A) 1 - 2 Brann Away

In the last 2 meetings, AEK Larnaca won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

AEK Larnaca — unbeaten run (home)0
AEK Larnaca — scoring streak (home)0
Brann — winless run (away)5
Brann — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

AEK Larnaca Win (1)52%
Draw (X)26%
Brann Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 57%
50% +1.5 29%
25% +2.5 14%
25% +3.5 14%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 43%
50% -1.5 71%
75% -2.5 86%
75% -3.5 86%
100% -4.5 100%

AEK Larnaca vs Brann — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

AEK Larnaca — scored (home)1.75
AEK Larnaca — conceded (home)1.5
Brann — scored (away)1.14
Brann — conceded (away)0.71
Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

AEK Larnaca — BTTS matches (home)50%
Brann — BTTS matches (away)29%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.556%
Under 4.544%
Over 5.556%
Under 5.544%
Over 6.548%
Under 6.552%
Over 7.529%
Under 7.571%
Over 8.529%
Under 8.571%
Over 9.529%
Under 9.571%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)5.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

AEK Larnaca (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against3.0

Brann (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against7.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

AEK Larnaca
0 0 0 11 7
Brann
11 15 6 11 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

AEK Larnaca (home)

For0.8

Brann (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

AEK Larnaca — total shots (home)9.0
Brann — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

AEK Larnaca — on target (home)0.0
Brann — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

AEK Larnaca

Inside the box0
Outside the box0

Brann

Inside the box8.1
Outside the box3

Player Shots AEK Larnaca

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Brann

E. Kornvig
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target29%
N. Holm
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target22%
M. Sande
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Soltvedt
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
N. Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

AEK Larnaca xG (home)0
Brann xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

45.5% Possession 48.83%

Team Comparison AEK Larnaca vs Brann

0% Pass accuracy 75.8%
0 Passes per match 390
0 Goals prevented 0.24
10 Fouls committed 11.17
5 Goalkeeper saves 3.25
2 Offsides 1.67
- Tackles per match 18.8

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

AEK Larnaca vs Brann prediction analysis

Review AEK Larnaca vs Brann with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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