Prediction Analysis: Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar
Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-10-18
21:10
Águilas Doradas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Alianza Valledupar
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
26%
2
30%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Águilas Doradas (Home)
Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%
Alianza Valledupar (Away)
Goals scored / match0.9
Goals conceded / match1.45
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate40%
Team Form last 5 matches
Águilas Doradas
LLWWW
Alianza Valledupar
LWWWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
80%
+0.5
55%
40%
+1.5
25%
10%
+2.5
10%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
60%
BTTS
40%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.
Águilas Doradas averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Alianza Valledupar averages 0.9 goals scored away.
Model Strength
53%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
26%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 2
Oct 2025
Águilas Doradas
1 - 0
Alianza Valledupar
Home
Apr 2025
Águilas Doradas(A)
0 - 0
Alianza Valledupar
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Águilas Doradas won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Águilas Doradas — unbeaten run (home)0
Águilas Doradas — scoring streak (home)12
Alianza Valledupar — winless run (away)1
Alianza Valledupar — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Águilas Doradas Win (1)45%
Draw (X)26%
Alianza Valledupar Win (2)30%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
80%
+0.5
55%
40%
+1.5
25%
10%
+2.5
10%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
20%
-0.5
45%
60%
-1.5
75%
90%
-2.5
90%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Águilas Doradas — scored (home)1.3
Águilas Doradas — conceded (home)1.2
Alianza Valledupar — scored (away)0.9
Alianza Valledupar — conceded (away)1.45
Model expected combined goals2.62
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
Águilas Doradas — BTTS matches (home)60%
Alianza Valledupar — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Águilas Doradas (home)
Corners for4.8
Corners against4.7
Alianza Valledupar (away)
Corners for3.3
Corners against5.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Águilas Doradas
16
7
12
9
8
Alianza Valledupar
16
11
9
10
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Águilas Doradas (home)
For2.6
Alianza Valledupar (away)
For2.4
Shots per Game
Águilas Doradas — total shots (home)12.9
Alianza Valledupar — total shots (away)9.9
Shots on Target
Águilas Doradas — on target (home)4.6
Alianza Valledupar — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Águilas Doradas
Inside the box6.5
Outside the box5.55
Alianza Valledupar
Inside the box6.4
Outside the box5.8
Player Shots Águilas Doradas
Y. González
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target22%
F. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Rivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Lemos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
W. Morelo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Alianza Valledupar
C. Lucumi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target53%
F. Pardo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Muñoz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Águilas Doradas xG (home)1.19
Alianza Valledupar xG (away)1.2
Average Possession
47.55%
Possession
49.88%
Team Comparison Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar
77.18%
Pass accuracy
78.53%
329.4
Passes per match
349.75
0
Goals prevented
0
11.88
Fouls committed
12
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
2.55
1.56
Offsides
1.97
12.18
Tackles per match
12.03
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar prediction analysis
Review Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights