Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Águilas Doradas vs America de Cali

Águilas Doradas vs America de Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-04-30 23:00
Águilas Doradas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
25%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
America de Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
34%
2
33%
Under 2.5
75%
BTTS No
67%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Águilas Doradas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%

America de Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match0.96
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Águilas Doradas
LLWWW
America de Cali
WLDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 62%
40% +1.5 19%
10% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 25%. Model confidence is High.

Águilas Doradas averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while America de Cali averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
34%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Yes
33%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Águilas Doradas(A) 1 - 2 America de Cali Away
Apr 2025 Águilas Doradas 0 - 1 America de Cali Away

In the last 2 meetings, Águilas Doradas won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Águilas Doradas — unbeaten run (home)0
Águilas Doradas — scoring streak (home)12
America de Cali — winless run (away)4
America de Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Águilas Doradas Win (1)33%
Draw (X)34%
America de Cali Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 62%
40% +1.5 19%
10% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 38%
60% -1.5 81%
90% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 100%

Águilas Doradas vs America de Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Águilas Doradas — scored (home)1.3
Águilas Doradas — conceded (home)1.2
America de Cali — scored (away)0.88
America de Cali — conceded (away)0.96
Model expected combined goals1.71

Both Teams To Score

Yes33%
No67%

Rate per Team

Águilas Doradas — BTTS matches (home)60%
America de Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.572%
Under 7.528%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.528%
Under 10.572%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Águilas Doradas (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.7

America de Cali (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Águilas Doradas
16 7 12 9 8
America de Cali
7 7 4 6 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Águilas Doradas (home)

For2.6

America de Cali (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Águilas Doradas — total shots (home)12.9
America de Cali — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Águilas Doradas — on target (home)4.6
America de Cali — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Águilas Doradas

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box5.55

America de Cali

Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38

Player Shots Águilas Doradas

Y. González
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target22%
F. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Rivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Lemos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
W. Morelo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots America de Cali

D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Águilas Doradas xG (home)1.19
America de Cali xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

47.55% Possession 52.4%

Team Comparison Águilas Doradas vs America de Cali

77.18% Pass accuracy 81.27%
329.4 Passes per match 393.67
0 Goals prevented 0
11.88 Fouls committed 12.02
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.56 Offsides 1.86
12.18 Tackles per match 12.15

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Águilas Doradas vs America de Cali prediction analysis

Review Águilas Doradas vs America de Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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