Prediction Analysis: Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira
Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-05-05
01:30
Águilas Doradas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
35%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Deportivo Pereira
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
29%
2
26%
Under 2.5
65%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Águilas Doradas (Home)
Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%
Deportivo Pereira (Away)
Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate40%
Team Form last 5 matches
Águilas Doradas
LLWWW
Deportivo Pereira
LLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
80%
+0.5
45%
40%
+1.5
15%
10%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
60%
BTTS
40%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is Medium.
Águilas Doradas averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Pereira averages 0.65 goals scored away.
Model Strength
65%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
29%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Yes
41%
Head-to-Head last 2
Oct 2025
Águilas Doradas(A)
5 - 1
Deportivo Pereira
Home
May 2025
Águilas Doradas
3 - 3
Deportivo Pereira
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Águilas Doradas won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Águilas Doradas — unbeaten run (home)0
Águilas Doradas — scoring streak (home)12
Deportivo Pereira — winless run (away)15
Deportivo Pereira — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Águilas Doradas Win (1)45%
Draw (X)29%
Deportivo Pereira Win (2)26%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
80%
+0.5
45%
40%
+1.5
15%
10%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
20%
-0.5
55%
60%
-1.5
85%
90%
-2.5
95%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Águilas Doradas — scored (home)1.3
Águilas Doradas — conceded (home)1.2
Deportivo Pereira — scored (away)0.65
Deportivo Pereira — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.12
Both Teams To Score
Yes41%
No59%
Rate per Team
Águilas Doradas — BTTS matches (home)60%
Deportivo Pereira — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.578%
Under 7.522%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Águilas Doradas (home)
Corners for4.8
Corners against4.7
Deportivo Pereira (away)
Corners for4.7
Corners against4.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Águilas Doradas
16
7
12
9
8
Deportivo Pereira
10
7
11
8
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.578%
Under 2.522%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Águilas Doradas (home)
For2.6
Deportivo Pereira (away)
For3.6
Shots per Game
Águilas Doradas — total shots (home)12.9
Deportivo Pereira — total shots (away)10.4
Shots on Target
Águilas Doradas — on target (home)4.6
Deportivo Pereira — on target (away)3.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Águilas Doradas
Inside the box6.5
Outside the box5.55
Deportivo Pereira
Inside the box6.05
Outside the box5.35
Player Shots Águilas Doradas
Y. González
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target22%
F. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Rivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Lemos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
W. Morelo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Deportivo Pereira
D. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Quiñones
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Merheg
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Estacio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
G. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Águilas Doradas xG (home)1.19
Deportivo Pereira xG (away)1.06
Average Possession
47.55%
Possession
45.4%
Team Comparison Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira
77.18%
Pass accuracy
75.78%
329.4
Passes per match
315.05
0
Goals prevented
0
11.88
Fouls committed
13.2
2.8
Goalkeeper saves
3.45
1.56
Offsides
2.03
12.18
Tackles per match
11.3
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira prediction analysis
Review Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights