Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Águilas Doradas vs Envigado

Águilas Doradas vs Envigado prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-10-28 21:00
Águilas Doradas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Envigado
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
28%
2
31%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Águilas Doradas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%

Envigado (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.15
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Águilas Doradas
LLWWW
Envigado
WDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 45%
40% +1.5 30%
10% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Águilas Doradas averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Envigado averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
28%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 4

Oct 2025 Águilas Doradas 1 - 0 Envigado Home
Sep 2025 Águilas Doradas(A) 1 - 1 Envigado Draw
May 2025 Águilas Doradas(A) 2 - 0 Envigado Home
Mar 2025 Águilas Doradas 1 - 0 Envigado Home

In the last 4 meetings, Águilas Doradas won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Águilas Doradas — unbeaten run (home)0
Águilas Doradas — scoring streak (home)12
Envigado — winless run (away)0
Envigado — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Águilas Doradas Win (1)41%
Draw (X)28%
Envigado Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 45%
40% +1.5 30%
10% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 55%
60% -1.5 70%
90% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Águilas Doradas vs Envigado — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Águilas Doradas — scored (home)1.3
Águilas Doradas — conceded (home)1.2
Envigado — scored (away)0.95
Envigado — conceded (away)1.15
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Águilas Doradas — BTTS matches (home)60%
Envigado — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Águilas Doradas (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.7

Envigado (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Águilas Doradas
16 7 12 9 8
Envigado
3 4 12 6 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Águilas Doradas (home)

For2.6

Envigado (away)

For4.2

Shots per Game

Águilas Doradas — total shots (home)12.9
Envigado — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Águilas Doradas — on target (home)4.6
Envigado — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Águilas Doradas

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box5.55

Envigado

Inside the box5.23
Outside the box5.13

Player Shots Águilas Doradas

Y. González
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target22%
F. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Rivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Lemos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
W. Morelo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Arcila
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. López
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Garcés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target8%
W. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Águilas Doradas xG (home)1.19
Envigado xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

47.55% Possession 43.18%

Team Comparison Águilas Doradas vs Envigado

77.18% Pass accuracy 74.7%
329.4 Passes per match 285.13
0 Goals prevented 0
11.88 Fouls committed 14.18
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 2.9
1.56 Offsides 1.74
12.18 Tackles per match 11.08

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Águilas Doradas vs Envigado prediction analysis

Review Águilas Doradas vs Envigado with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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