Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe

Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-02-07 23:00
Águilas Doradas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Santa Fe
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
28%
2
36%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Águilas Doradas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%

Santa Fe (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Águilas Doradas
LLWWW
Santa Fe
DWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 70%
40% +1.5 33%
10% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 4%
60% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Águilas Doradas averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Santa Fe averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
28%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Águilas Doradas(A) 0 - 0 Santa Fe Draw
Feb 2025 Águilas Doradas 0 - 0 Santa Fe Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Águilas Doradas won 0, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Águilas Doradas — unbeaten run (home)0
Águilas Doradas — scoring streak (home)12
Santa Fe — winless run (away)0
Santa Fe — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Águilas Doradas Win (1)36%
Draw (X)28%
Santa Fe Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 70%
40% +1.5 33%
10% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 30%
60% -1.5 67%
90% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 96%

Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Águilas Doradas — scored (home)1.3
Águilas Doradas — conceded (home)1.2
Santa Fe — scored (away)1.22
Santa Fe — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Águilas Doradas — BTTS matches (home)60%
Santa Fe — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.581%
Under 6.519%
Over 7.572%
Under 7.528%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Águilas Doradas (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.7

Santa Fe (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Águilas Doradas
16 7 12 9 8
Santa Fe
6 8 8 12 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Águilas Doradas (home)

For2.6

Santa Fe (away)

For3.4

Shots per Game

Águilas Doradas — total shots (home)12.9
Santa Fe — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Águilas Doradas — on target (home)4.6
Santa Fe — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Águilas Doradas

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box5.55

Santa Fe

Inside the box7.04
Outside the box5.44

Player Shots Águilas Doradas

Y. González
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target22%
F. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Rivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Lemos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
W. Morelo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Santa Fe

H. Rodallega
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target37%
H. Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
Y. Perlaza
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
O. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Águilas Doradas xG (home)1.19
Santa Fe xG (away)1.08

Average Possession

47.55% Possession 48.19%

Team Comparison Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe

77.18% Pass accuracy 77.09%
329.4 Passes per match 334.04
0 Goals prevented 0
11.88 Fouls committed 11.52
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 3.46
1.56 Offsides 1.38
12.18 Tackles per match 10.54

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe prediction analysis

Review Águilas Doradas vs Santa Fe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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