Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Águilas Doradas vs Union Magdalena

Águilas Doradas vs Union Magdalena prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-04-16 19:00
Águilas Doradas
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
23%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Union Magdalena
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
34%
2
24%
Under 2.5
77%
BTTS No
69%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Águilas Doradas (Home)

Goals scored / match1.3
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%

Union Magdalena (Away)

Goals scored / match0.7
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Águilas Doradas
LLWWW
Union Magdalena
WLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 60%
40% +1.5 10%
10% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 23%. Model confidence is High.

Águilas Doradas averages 1.3 goals scored at home, while Union Magdalena averages 0.7 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
34%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
23%
BTTS Yes
31%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Águilas Doradas(A) 2 - 3 Union Magdalena Away
Apr 2025 Águilas Doradas 1 - 1 Union Magdalena Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Águilas Doradas won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Águilas Doradas — unbeaten run (home)0
Águilas Doradas — scoring streak (home)12
Union Magdalena — winless run (away)6
Union Magdalena — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Águilas Doradas Win (1)42%
Draw (X)34%
Union Magdalena Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 60%
40% +1.5 10%
10% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 40%
60% -1.5 90%
90% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Águilas Doradas vs Union Magdalena — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Águilas Doradas — scored (home)1.3
Águilas Doradas — conceded (home)1.2
Union Magdalena — scored (away)0.7
Union Magdalena — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals1.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes31%
No69%

Rate per Team

Águilas Doradas — BTTS matches (home)60%
Union Magdalena — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%
Under 4.57%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Águilas Doradas (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against4.7

Union Magdalena (away)

Corners for2.9
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Águilas Doradas
16 7 12 9 8
Union Magdalena
3 14 12 11 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.573%
Under 2.527%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Águilas Doradas (home)

For2.6

Union Magdalena (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Águilas Doradas — total shots (home)12.9
Union Magdalena — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Águilas Doradas — on target (home)4.6
Union Magdalena — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Águilas Doradas

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box5.55

Union Magdalena

Inside the box5.77
Outside the box5.72

Player Shots Águilas Doradas

Y. González
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target22%
F. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Rivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Lemos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
W. Morelo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Union Magdalena

R. Márquez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Sarmiento
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Blanco
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
C. Iguaran
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Aragon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Águilas Doradas xG (home)1.19
Union Magdalena xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

47.55% Possession 45.9%

Team Comparison Águilas Doradas vs Union Magdalena

77.18% Pass accuracy 75.59%
329.4 Passes per match 333
0 Goals prevented 0
11.88 Fouls committed 13.13
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 3.18
1.56 Offsides 1.74
12.18 Tackles per match 13.23

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Águilas Doradas vs Union Magdalena prediction analysis

Review Águilas Doradas vs Union Magdalena with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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