What markets are included in the Ajax vs Benfica prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Ajax vs Benfica prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Ajax vs Benfica

Ajax vs Benfica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-11-25 17:45

Ajax

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

32%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Benfica

Away

Prediction Summary

17%

28%

55%

Under 2.5

68%

BTTS No

65%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Ajax (Home)

Goals scored / match0.25

Goals conceded / match2.25

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate25%

Benfica (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71

Goals conceded / match1.14

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate14%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ajax

LWWLL

Benfica

LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

25% +0.5 43%

0% +1.5 29%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

25% BTTS 14%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ajax averages 0.25 goals scored at home, while Benfica averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

17%

Draw

28%

Away Win

55%

Over 2.5

32%

BTTS Yes

35%

Head-to-Head last 3

Nov 2025 Ajax 0 - 2 Benfica Away

Mar 2022 Ajax 0 - 1 Benfica Away

Feb 2022 Ajax(A) 2 - 2 Benfica Draw

In the last 3 meetings, Ajax won 0, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Ajax — unbeaten run (home)0

Ajax — scoring streak (home)1

Benfica — winless run (away)2

Benfica — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ajax Win (1)17%

Draw (X)28%

Benfica Win (2)55%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

25% +0.5 43%

0% +1.5 29%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

75% -0.5 57%

100% -1.5 71%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Ajax vs Benfica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ajax — scored (home)0.25

Ajax — conceded (home)2.25

Benfica — scored (away)0.71

Benfica — conceded (away)1.14

Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes35%

No65%

Rate per Team

Ajax — BTTS matches (home)25%

Benfica — BTTS matches (away)14%

Combined (simple average)19.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.588%

Under 7.512%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ajax (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against3.8

Benfica (away)

Corners for5.7

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ajax

5 14 10 12 9

Benfica

8 11 11 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.554%

Under 2.546%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Ajax (home)

For1.5

Benfica (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Ajax — total shots (home)8.3

Benfica — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Ajax — on target (home)2.8

Benfica — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ajax

Inside the box6

Outside the box4.38

Benfica

Inside the box8.71

Outside the box5.07

Player Shots Ajax

K. Dolberg

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target20%

O. Gloukh

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

O. Edvardsen

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Rayane Bounida

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

J. Mokio

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Benfica

D. Lukebakio

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target50%

K. Aktürkoğlu

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

R. Rios

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target0%

V. Pavlidis

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target21%

A. Schjelderup

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ajax xG (home)1.17

Benfica xG (away)1.43

Average Possession

53.75% Possession 47.07%

Team Comparison Ajax vs Benfica

87% Pass accuracy 83.07%

521.63 Passes per match 434.5

-0.36 Goals prevented -0.14

11.88 Fouls committed 10.5

3.38 Goalkeeper saves 3.07

1.14 Offsides 1.46

15.63 Tackles per match 17.29

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ajax vs Benfica prediction analysis

Review Ajax vs Benfica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights