What markets are included in the Ajax vs Lazio prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Ajax vs Lazio prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Ajax vs Lazio

Ajax vs Lazio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-12-12 20:00

Ajax

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Lazio

Away

Prediction Summary

56%

24%

20%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Ajax (Home)

Goals scored / match2

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate33%

BTTS rate44%

Lazio (Away)

Goals scored / match1.67

Goals conceded / match0.83

Over 2.5 rate33%

BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ajax

LLLWW

Lazio

WLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 67%

44% +1.5 67%

33% +2.5 33%

22% +3.5 0%

11% +4.5 0%

44% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ajax averages 2 goals scored at home, while Lazio averages 1.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

56%

Draw

24%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 1

Dec 2024 Ajax 1 - 3 Lazio Away

In the last 1 meetings, Ajax won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Ajax — unbeaten run (home)0

Ajax — scoring streak (home)7

Lazio — winless run (away)1

Lazio — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ajax Win (1)56%

Draw (X)24%

Lazio Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 67%

44% +1.5 67%

33% +2.5 33%

22% +3.5 0%

11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 33%

56% -1.5 33%

67% -2.5 67%

78% -3.5 100%

89% -4.5 100%

Ajax vs Lazio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ajax — scored (home)2

Ajax — conceded (home)1

Lazio — scored (away)1.67

Lazio — conceded (away)0.83

Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Ajax — BTTS matches (home)44%

Lazio — BTTS matches (away)33%

Combined (simple average)38.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.575%

Under 4.525%

Over 5.562%

Under 5.538%

Over 6.539%

Under 6.561%

Over 7.539%

Under 7.561%

Over 8.539%

Under 8.561%

Over 9.531%

Under 9.569%

Over 10.525%

Under 10.575%

Expected total corners (blended average)6.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ajax (home)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.0

Lazio (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ajax

12 10 13 11 8

Lazio

11 9 16 5 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.586%

Under 2.514%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Ajax (home)

For2.6

Lazio (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Ajax — total shots (home)15.0

Lazio — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Ajax — on target (home)7.0

Lazio — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ajax

Inside the box8.67

Outside the box3.83

Lazio

Inside the box10.25

Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Ajax

O. Edvardsen

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

B. Brobbey

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target38%

W. Weghorst

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

K. Hlynsson

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

M. Godts

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target27%

M. Zaccagni

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target10%

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

B. Dia

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

A. Romagnoli

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ajax xG (home)1.72

Lazio xG (away)1.65

Average Possession

50.92% Possession 52.25%

Team Comparison Ajax vs Lazio

82.58% Pass accuracy 84.58%

484 Passes per match 496.08

0.4 Goals prevented 0.37

13.46 Fouls committed 12.83

3.31 Goalkeeper saves 3.08

1.38 Offsides 2.5

19.25 Tackles per match 17.17

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ajax vs Lazio prediction analysis

Review Ajax vs Lazio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights