Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ajax vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Ajax vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-11-07 20:00
Ajax
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
24%
2
34%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Ajax (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate44%

Maccabi Tel Aviv (Away)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match2.17
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate83%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ajax
LLLWW
Maccabi Tel Aviv
LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 83%
44% +1.5 50%
33% +2.5 33%
22% +3.5 17%
11% +4.5 17%
44% BTTS 83%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ajax averages 2 goals scored at home, while Maccabi Tel Aviv averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
24%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Ajax 5 - 0 Maccabi Tel Aviv Home

In the last 1 meetings, Ajax won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Ajax — unbeaten run (home)0
Ajax — scoring streak (home)7
Maccabi Tel Aviv — winless run (away)1
Maccabi Tel Aviv — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ajax Win (1)43%
Draw (X)24%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 83%
44% +1.5 50%
33% +2.5 33%
22% +3.5 17%
11% +4.5 17%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 17%
56% -1.5 50%
67% -2.5 67%
78% -3.5 83%
89% -4.5 83%

Ajax vs Maccabi Tel Aviv — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ajax — scored (home)2
Ajax — conceded (home)1
Maccabi Tel Aviv — scored (away)2
Maccabi Tel Aviv — conceded (away)2.17
Model expected combined goals3.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Ajax — BTTS matches (home)44%
Maccabi Tel Aviv — BTTS matches (away)83%
Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.575%
Under 4.525%
Over 5.562%
Under 5.538%
Over 6.547%
Under 6.553%
Over 7.547%
Under 7.553%
Over 8.539%
Under 8.561%
Over 9.531%
Under 9.569%
Over 10.517%
Under 10.583%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ajax (home)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.0

Maccabi Tel Aviv (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ajax
12 10 13 11 8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
6 9 5 5 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Ajax (home)

For2.6

Maccabi Tel Aviv (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Ajax — total shots (home)15.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

Ajax — on target (home)7.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv — on target (away)5.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ajax

Inside the box8.67
Outside the box3.83

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Inside the box7.38
Outside the box4.5

Player Shots Ajax

O. Edvardsen
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Brobbey
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
W. Weghorst
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
K. Hlynsson
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Godts
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Maccabi Tel Aviv

Weslley Patati
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target29%
Dor Peretz
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
O. Davida
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
D. Turgeman
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
E. Madmon
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ajax xG (home)1.72
Maccabi Tel Aviv xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

50.92% Possession 45%

Team Comparison Ajax vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

82.58% Pass accuracy 82.25%
484 Passes per match 413.88
0.4 Goals prevented 0.2
13.46 Fouls committed 11.11
3.31 Goalkeeper saves 3.56
1.38 Offsides 1.89
19.25 Tackles per match 17.38

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ajax vs Maccabi Tel Aviv prediction analysis

Review Ajax vs Maccabi Tel Aviv with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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