What markets are included in the Ajax vs PEC Zwolle prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Ajax vs PEC Zwolle prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Ajax vs PEC Zwolle

Ajax vs PEC Zwolle prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-09-13 14:30

Ajax

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

68%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

PEC Zwolle

Away

Prediction Summary

65%

18%

17%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Ajax (Home)

Goals scored / match1.79

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate53%

PEC Zwolle (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match2.94

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ajax

DWDLD

PEC Zwolle

LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 94%

63% +1.5 41%

16% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ajax averages 1.79 goals scored at home, while PEC Zwolle averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

65%

Draw

18%

Away Win

17%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Ajax(A) 0 - 0 PEC Zwolle Draw

Sep 2025 Ajax 3 - 1 PEC Zwolle Home

Mar 2025 Ajax(A) 1 - 0 PEC Zwolle Home

Nov 2024 Ajax 2 - 0 PEC Zwolle Home

Mar 2024 Ajax(A) 3 - 1 PEC Zwolle Home

In the last 5 meetings, Ajax won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Ajax — unbeaten run (home)2

Ajax — scoring streak (home)0

PEC Zwolle — winless run (away)16

PEC Zwolle — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ajax Win (1)65%

Draw (X)18%

PEC Zwolle Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 94%

63% +1.5 41%

16% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 6%

37% -1.5 59%

84% -2.5 100%

89% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Ajax vs PEC Zwolle — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ajax — scored (home)1.79

Ajax — conceded (home)0.89

PEC Zwolle — scored (away)1.35

PEC Zwolle — conceded (away)2.94

Model expected combined goals3.49

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%

No39%

Rate per Team

Ajax — BTTS matches (home)53%

PEC Zwolle — BTTS matches (away)88%

Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%

Under 4.511%

Over 5.586%

Under 5.514%

Over 6.581%

Under 6.519%

Over 7.575%

Under 7.525%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ajax (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.1

PEC Zwolle (away)

Corners for3.1

Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ajax

10 11 16 4 12

PEC Zwolle

7 8 6 11 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.580%

Under 1.520%

Over 2.561%

Under 2.539%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Ajax (home)

For1.6

PEC Zwolle (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Ajax — total shots (home)16.3

PEC Zwolle — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Ajax — on target (home)6.5

PEC Zwolle — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ajax

Inside the box10.03

Outside the box4.83

PEC Zwolle

Inside the box6.12

Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Ajax

M. Godts

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target38%

S. Berghuis

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target29%

O. Gloukh

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target14%

K. Taylor

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target7%

W. Weghorst

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots PEC Zwolle

K. Kostons

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target26%

Y. Namli

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target23%

T. Oosting

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target18%

O. Velanas

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target8%

S. Shoretire

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ajax xG (home)1.62

PEC Zwolle xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

56.39% Possession 44.94%

Team Comparison Ajax vs PEC Zwolle

85.03% Pass accuracy 77.53%

528.97 Passes per match 379.68

0.13 Goals prevented -0.25

10.25 Fouls committed 11.53

3.19 Goalkeeper saves 4.09

1.48 Offsides 1.74

16.89 Tackles per match 17.29

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ajax vs PEC Zwolle prediction analysis

Review Ajax vs PEC Zwolle with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights