Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fayha

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fayha prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-12-30 15:30
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al-Fayha
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
23%
2
28%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al-Ahli Jeddah (Home)

Goals scored / match2.65
Goals conceded / match0.76
Over 2.5 rate59%
BTTS rate59%

Al-Fayha (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al-Ahli Jeddah
WWWWW
Al-Fayha
LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 59%
82% +1.5 29%
59% +2.5 12%
24% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
59% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al-Ahli Jeddah averages 2.65 goals scored at home, while Al-Fayha averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
23%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Al-Ahli Jeddah(A) 1 - 1 Al-Fayha Draw
Dec 2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah 2 - 0 Al-Fayha Home
Apr 2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah 5 - 0 Al-Fayha Home
Nov 2024 Al-Ahli Jeddah(A) 1 - 0 Al-Fayha Home
May 2024 Al-Ahli Jeddah 1 - 0 Al-Fayha Home

In the last 5 meetings, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Al-Ahli Jeddah — unbeaten run (home)17
Al-Ahli Jeddah — scoring streak (home)17
Al-Fayha — winless run (away)4
Al-Fayha — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al-Ahli Jeddah Win (1)49%
Draw (X)23%
Al-Fayha Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 59%
82% +1.5 29%
59% +2.5 12%
24% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 41%
18% -1.5 71%
41% -2.5 88%
76% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fayha — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al-Ahli Jeddah — scored (home)2.65
Al-Ahli Jeddah — conceded (home)0.76
Al-Fayha — scored (away)1.12
Al-Fayha — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.1

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Al-Ahli Jeddah — BTTS matches (home)59%
Al-Fayha — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al-Ahli Jeddah (home)

Corners for6.4
Corners against3.6

Al-Fayha (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al-Ahli Jeddah
12 4 8 6 9
Al-Fayha
9 15 6 13 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Al-Ahli Jeddah (home)

For1.9

Al-Fayha (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Al-Ahli Jeddah — total shots (home)14.9
Al-Fayha — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Al-Ahli Jeddah — on target (home)6.2
Al-Fayha — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al-Ahli Jeddah

Inside the box9.39
Outside the box3.67

Al-Fayha

Inside the box6.44
Outside the box3.71

Player Shots Al-Ahli Jeddah

I. Toney
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target87%
+1.5 On Target39%
F. Kessié
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target16%
Matheus Gonçalves
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target14%
Galeno
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target9%
E. Millot
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Al-Fayha

F. Sakala
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
Jason
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
Y. Benzia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
Abdullah Radif
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Ganvoula
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Ahli Jeddah xG (home)2.11
Al-Fayha xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

50.06% Possession 44.74%

Team Comparison Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fayha

81.12% Pass accuracy 82.21%
346 Passes per match 365
-0.34 Goals prevented -0.27
14.7 Fouls committed 10.53
1.64 Goalkeeper saves 3
3.19 Offsides 2.33
16.06 Tackles per match 15.56

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fayha prediction analysis

Review Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fayha with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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