Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh

Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-08-14 18:00
Al-Ettifaq
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al Riyadh
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
22%
2
25%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al-Ettifaq (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

Al Riyadh (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match2.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al-Ettifaq
DLWDW
Al Riyadh
WDWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 76%
53% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al-Ettifaq averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while Al Riyadh averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
22%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Al-Ettifaq 2 - 3 Al Riyadh Away
Dec 2025 Al-Ettifaq(A) 2 - 0 Al Riyadh Home
Apr 2025 Al-Ettifaq 1 - 0 Al Riyadh Home
Nov 2024 Al-Ettifaq(A) 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Draw
Apr 2024 Al-Ettifaq 1 - 0 Al Riyadh Home

In the last 5 meetings, Al-Ettifaq won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Al-Ettifaq — unbeaten run (home)0
Al-Ettifaq — scoring streak (home)1
Al Riyadh — winless run (away)3
Al Riyadh — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al-Ettifaq Win (1)53%
Draw (X)22%
Al Riyadh Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 76%
53% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 24%
47% -1.5 76%
82% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al-Ettifaq — scored (home)1.53
Al-Ettifaq — conceded (home)1.53
Al Riyadh — scored (away)1.06
Al Riyadh — conceded (away)2.35
Model expected combined goals3.24

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Al-Ettifaq — BTTS matches (home)59%
Al Riyadh — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al-Ettifaq (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.8

Al Riyadh (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al-Ettifaq
13 10 8 6 4
Al Riyadh
14 15 7 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Al-Ettifaq (home)

For2.6

Al Riyadh (away)

For1.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.574%
Under 19.526%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.549%
Under 25.551%
Expected total shots26.26

Al-Ettifaq

Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.59
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.71

Al Riyadh

Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.68
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target4.96

Shots per Game

Al-Ettifaq — total shots (home)10.4
Al Riyadh — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Al-Ettifaq — on target (home)4.1
Al Riyadh — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al-Ettifaq

Inside the box6.56
Outside the box3.79

Al Riyadh

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.56

Player Shots Al-Ettifaq

G. Wijnaldum
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target27%
Khalid Al Ghannam
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target19%
F. Calvo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
Koka
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Al Riyadh

Leandro Antunes
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target53%
M. Sylla
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
Tozé
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
T. Okou
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Haroun
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Ettifaq xG (home)1.41
Al Riyadh xG (away)1.43

Average Possession

48.91% Possession 41.94%

Team Comparison Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh

82.94% Pass accuracy 79.03%
385.35 Passes per match 319.12
0.38 Goals prevented 0.18
11.53 Fouls committed 12.71
3.59 Goalkeeper saves 3.24
1.97 Offsides 1.58
13.06 Tackles per match 13.38

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh prediction analysis

Review Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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