Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-08-22 15:45
Al-Fateh
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al-Ettifaq
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
24%
2
36%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al-Fateh (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate65%

Al-Ettifaq (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al-Fateh
DWLLD
Al-Ettifaq
DLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 71%
59% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 6%
65% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al-Fateh averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Al-Ettifaq averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
24%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Al-Fateh(A) 3 - 4 Al-Ettifaq Away
Oct 2025 Al-Fateh 2 - 1 Al-Ettifaq Home
Feb 2025 Al-Fateh(A) 2 - 1 Al-Ettifaq Home
Sep 2024 Al-Fateh 1 - 2 Al-Ettifaq Away
Apr 2024 Al-Fateh 1 - 0 Al-Ettifaq Home

In the last 5 meetings, Al-Fateh won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Al-Fateh — unbeaten run (home)3
Al-Fateh — scoring streak (home)3
Al-Ettifaq — winless run (away)1
Al-Ettifaq — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al-Fateh Win (1)40%
Draw (X)24%
Al-Ettifaq Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 71%
59% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 29%
41% -1.5 65%
94% -2.5 76%
100% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 94%

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al-Fateh — scored (home)1.47
Al-Fateh — conceded (home)1.53
Al-Ettifaq — scored (away)1.47
Al-Ettifaq — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals3.09

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Al-Fateh — BTTS matches (home)65%
Al-Ettifaq — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al-Fateh (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against5.4

Al-Ettifaq (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al-Fateh
12 4 7 10 10
Al-Ettifaq
13 10 8 6 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Al-Fateh (home)

For2.5

Al-Ettifaq (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.43

Al-Fateh

Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.561%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.66
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.92

Al-Ettifaq

Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.76
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.58

Shots per Game

Al-Fateh — total shots (home)14.4
Al-Ettifaq — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Al-Fateh — on target (home)5.2
Al-Ettifaq — on target (away)4.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al-Fateh

Inside the box7.71
Outside the box4.71

Al-Ettifaq

Inside the box6.56
Outside the box3.79

Player Shots Al-Fateh

M. Batna
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target45%
K. Toko Ekambi
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
S. Bendebka
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target14%
Abdullah Al Anazi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Al-Ettifaq

G. Wijnaldum
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target27%
Khalid Al Ghannam
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target19%
F. Calvo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
Koka
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Fateh xG (home)1.48
Al-Ettifaq xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

46.35% Possession 48.91%

Team Comparison Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq

78.41% Pass accuracy 82.94%
319.21 Passes per match 385.35
0.44 Goals prevented 0.38
13.09 Fouls committed 11.53
3.68 Goalkeeper saves 3.59
2.26 Offsides 1.97
18.06 Tackles per match 13.06

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq prediction analysis

Review Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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