Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-01-03 13:10
Al-Fateh
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al Shabab
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
28%
2
36%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al-Fateh (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate65%

Al Shabab (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al-Fateh
DWLLD
Al Shabab
LWLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 53%
59% +1.5 24%
6% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al-Fateh averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Al Shabab averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
28%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Al-Fateh(A) 1 - 1 Al Shabab Draw
Jan 2026 Al-Fateh 2 - 0 Al Shabab Home
May 2025 Al-Fateh 3 - 1 Al Shabab Home
Dec 2024 Al-Fateh(A) 2 - 2 Al Shabab Draw
May 2024 Al-Fateh(A) 2 - 3 Al Shabab Away

In the last 5 meetings, Al-Fateh won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Al-Fateh — unbeaten run (home)3
Al-Fateh — scoring streak (home)3
Al Shabab — winless run (away)5
Al Shabab — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al-Fateh Win (1)36%
Draw (X)28%
Al Shabab Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 53%
59% +1.5 24%
6% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 47%
41% -1.5 76%
94% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al-Fateh — scored (home)1.47
Al-Fateh — conceded (home)1.53
Al Shabab — scored (away)0.94
Al Shabab — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals2.4

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Al-Fateh — BTTS matches (home)65%
Al Shabab — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.568%
Under 9.532%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al-Fateh (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against5.4

Al Shabab (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al-Fateh
12 4 7 10 10
Al Shabab
8 10 8 15 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Al-Fateh (home)

For2.5

Al Shabab (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Al-Fateh — total shots (home)14.4
Al Shabab — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Al-Fateh — on target (home)5.2
Al Shabab — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al-Fateh

Inside the box7.71
Outside the box4.71

Al Shabab

Inside the box8.32
Outside the box4.5

Player Shots Al-Fateh

M. Batna
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target45%
K. Toko Ekambi
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
S. Bendebka
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target14%
Abdullah Al Anazi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Al Shabab

Y. Carrasco
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target52%
A. Hamed Allah
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target21%
Haroune Camara
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Carlos Júnior
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
Y. Adli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Fateh xG (home)1.48
Al Shabab xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

46.35% Possession 48.82%

Team Comparison Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab

78.41% Pass accuracy 82.32%
319.21 Passes per match 373.62
0.44 Goals prevented 0.19
13.09 Fouls committed 11.29
3.68 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
2.26 Offsides 1.84
18.06 Tackles per match 15.56

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab prediction analysis

Review Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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