Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al-Fateh vs Al Taawon

Al-Fateh vs Al Taawon prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-11-07 14:35
Al-Fateh
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
0-1
Al Taawon
Away

Prediction Summary

1
23%
X
24%
2
53%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Al-Fateh (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate65%

Al Taawon (Away)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al-Fateh
DWLLD
Al Taawon
LDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 76%
59% +1.5 53%
6% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 12%
65% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Al-Fateh averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Al Taawon averages 1.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
23%
Draw
24%
Away Win
53%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Al-Fateh(A) 2 - 3 Al Taawon Away
Nov 2025 Al-Fateh 2 - 5 Al Taawon Away
Mar 2025 Al-Fateh 1 - 2 Al Taawon Away
Oct 2024 Al-Fateh(A) 0 - 2 Al Taawon Away
Dec 2023 Al-Fateh(A) 3 - 1 Al Taawon Home

In the last 5 meetings, Al-Fateh won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Al-Fateh — unbeaten run (home)3
Al-Fateh — scoring streak (home)3
Al Taawon — winless run (away)1
Al Taawon — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al-Fateh Win (1)23%
Draw (X)24%
Al Taawon Win (2)53%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 76%
59% +1.5 53%
6% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 12%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 24%
41% -1.5 47%
94% -2.5 76%
100% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 88%

Al-Fateh vs Al Taawon — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al-Fateh — scored (home)1.47
Al-Fateh — conceded (home)1.53
Al Taawon — scored (away)1.76
Al Taawon — conceded (away)1.29
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Al-Fateh — BTTS matches (home)65%
Al Taawon — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al-Fateh (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against5.4

Al Taawon (away)

Corners for2.1
Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al-Fateh
12 4 7 10 10
Al Taawon
10 8 8 7 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Al-Fateh (home)

For2.5

Al Taawon (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Al-Fateh — total shots (home)14.4
Al Taawon — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Al-Fateh — on target (home)5.2
Al Taawon — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al-Fateh

Inside the box7.71
Outside the box4.71

Al Taawon

Inside the box7.59
Outside the box4.21

Player Shots Al-Fateh

M. Batna
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target45%
K. Toko Ekambi
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
S. Bendebka
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Vargas
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target14%
Abdullah Al Anazi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Al Taawon

Roger Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target31%
M. Barrow
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Petkov
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Sultan Mandash
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Fulgini
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Fateh xG (home)1.48
Al Taawon xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

46.35% Possession 52.09%

Team Comparison Al-Fateh vs Al Taawon

78.41% Pass accuracy 84.74%
319.21 Passes per match 431.59
0.44 Goals prevented 0.17
13.09 Fouls committed 11
3.68 Goalkeeper saves 2.91
2.26 Offsides 1.53
18.06 Tackles per match 14.71

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al-Fateh vs Al Taawon prediction analysis

Review Al-Fateh vs Al Taawon with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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