Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al-Hazm vs Al Najma

Al-Hazm vs Al Najma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-01-12 15:10
Al-Hazm
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Al Najma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
26%
2
39%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Al-Hazm (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Al Najma (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match2.35
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al-Hazm
WLDLD
Al Najma
WLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 53%
47% +1.5 12%
12% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Al-Hazm averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Al Najma averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
26%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 Al-Hazm(A) 2 - 2 Al Najma Draw
Jan 2026 Al-Hazm 3 - 2 Al Najma Home
Apr 2025 Al-Hazm 0 - 2 Al Najma Away
Nov 2024 Al-Hazm(A) 1 - 2 Al Najma Away

In the last 4 meetings, Al-Hazm won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Al-Hazm — unbeaten run (home)1
Al-Hazm — scoring streak (home)1
Al Najma — winless run (away)17
Al Najma — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al-Hazm Win (1)35%
Draw (X)26%
Al Najma Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 53%
47% +1.5 12%
12% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 47%
53% -1.5 88%
88% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Al-Hazm vs Al Najma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al-Hazm — scored (home)1.29
Al-Hazm — conceded (home)1.76
Al Najma — scored (away)0.65
Al Najma — conceded (away)2.35
Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Al-Hazm — BTTS matches (home)59%
Al Najma — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al-Hazm (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.8

Al Najma (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against7.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al-Hazm
7 13 8 10 12
Al Najma
6 10 8 10 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Al-Hazm (home)

For2.9

Al Najma (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Al-Hazm — total shots (home)13.4
Al Najma — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Al-Hazm — on target (home)4.4
Al Najma — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al-Hazm

Inside the box6.32
Outside the box5.41

Al Najma

Inside the box5.47
Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Al-Hazm

Omar Al Somah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target42%
M. Carvalho
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Oumarou
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target30%
Yousef Al Shammari
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
Fábio Martins
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Al Najma

Ali Jasim
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
Felippe Cardoso
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target7%
Lázaro
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Jasim
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target6%
B. Boutobba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Hazm xG (home)1.21
Al Najma xG (away)0.86

Average Possession

46.09% Possession 45.06%

Team Comparison Al-Hazm vs Al Najma

80.71% Pass accuracy 80.32%
362.71 Passes per match 359.21
0.19 Goals prevented -0.03
12.47 Fouls committed 9.71
3.29 Goalkeeper saves 3.59
2.25 Offsides 2.21
15.82 Tackles per match 15.85

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al-Hazm vs Al Najma prediction analysis

Review Al-Hazm vs Al Najma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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