Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr

Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-10-25 18:00
Al-Hazm
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-2
Al-Nassr
Away

Prediction Summary

1
18%
X
20%
2
62%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al-Hazm (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

Al-Nassr (Away)

Goals scored / match2.65
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al-Hazm
WLDLD
Al-Nassr
WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 100%
47% +1.5 82%
12% +2.5 41%
0% +3.5 24%
0% +4.5 18%
59% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al-Hazm averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while Al-Nassr averages 2.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
18%
Draw
20%
Away Win
62%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Al-Hazm(A) 0 - 4 Al-Nassr Away
Oct 2025 Al-Hazm 0 - 2 Al-Nassr Away
Sep 2024 Al-Hazm 1 - 2 Al-Nassr Away
Feb 2024 Al-Hazm(A) 4 - 4 Al-Nassr Draw
Sep 2023 Al-Hazm 1 - 5 Al-Nassr Away

In the last 5 meetings, Al-Hazm won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Al-Hazm — unbeaten run (home)1
Al-Hazm — scoring streak (home)1
Al-Nassr — winless run (away)0
Al-Nassr — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al-Hazm Win (1)18%
Draw (X)20%
Al-Nassr Win (2)62%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 100%
47% +1.5 82%
12% +2.5 41%
0% +3.5 24%
0% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 0%
53% -1.5 18%
88% -2.5 59%
100% -3.5 76%
100% -4.5 82%

Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al-Hazm — scored (home)1.29
Al-Hazm — conceded (home)1.76
Al-Nassr — scored (away)2.65
Al-Nassr — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals3.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Al-Hazm — BTTS matches (home)59%
Al-Nassr — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.586%
Under 6.514%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al-Hazm (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.8

Al-Nassr (away)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al-Hazm
7 13 8 10 12
Al-Nassr
11 11 10 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Al-Hazm (home)

For2.9

Al-Nassr (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Al-Hazm — total shots (home)13.4
Al-Nassr — total shots (away)18.0

Shots on Target

Al-Hazm — on target (home)4.4
Al-Nassr — on target (away)6.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al-Hazm

Inside the box6.32
Outside the box5.41

Al-Nassr

Inside the box12.26
Outside the box5.65

Player Shots Al-Hazm

Omar Al Somah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target42%
M. Carvalho
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Oumarou
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target30%
Yousef Al Shammari
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
Fábio Martins
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Al-Nassr

Cristiano Ronaldo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target93%
+1.5 On Target63%
João Félix
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target42%
S. Mané
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
K. Coman
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target33%
Ângelo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Hazm xG (home)1.21
Al-Nassr xG (away)2.23

Average Possession

46.09% Possession 58.32%

Team Comparison Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr

80.71% Pass accuracy 86.15%
362.71 Passes per match 440.18
0.19 Goals prevented 0.33
12.47 Fouls committed 12.41
3.29 Goalkeeper saves 1.82
2.25 Offsides 3.06
15.82 Tackles per match 14

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr prediction analysis

Review Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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