Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al-Hazm vs NEOM

Al-Hazm vs NEOM prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-01-04 15:05
Al-Hazm
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
NEOM
Away

Prediction Summary

1
16%
X
22%
2
63%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al-Hazm (Home)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate59%

NEOM (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al-Hazm
WLDLD
NEOM
DLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 71%
47% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al-Hazm averages 1.29 goals scored at home, while NEOM averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
16%
Draw
22%
Away Win
63%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 4

Apr 2026 Al-Hazm(A) 1 - 1 NEOM Draw
Jan 2026 Al-Hazm 1 - 2 NEOM Away
Feb 2025 Al-Hazm 0 - 2 NEOM Away
Oct 2024 Al-Hazm(A) 0 - 2 NEOM Away

In the last 4 meetings, Al-Hazm won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Al-Hazm — unbeaten run (home)1
Al-Hazm — scoring streak (home)1
NEOM — winless run (away)3
NEOM — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al-Hazm Win (1)16%
Draw (X)22%
NEOM Win (2)63%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 71%
47% +1.5 41%
12% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 29%
53% -1.5 59%
88% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Al-Hazm vs NEOM — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al-Hazm — scored (home)1.29
Al-Hazm — conceded (home)1.76
NEOM — scored (away)1.35
NEOM — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals2.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Al-Hazm — BTTS matches (home)59%
NEOM — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al-Hazm (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.8

NEOM (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al-Hazm
7 13 8 10 12
NEOM
7 12 8 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Al-Hazm (home)

For2.9

NEOM (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Al-Hazm — total shots (home)13.4
NEOM — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

Al-Hazm — on target (home)4.4
NEOM — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al-Hazm

Inside the box6.32
Outside the box5.41

NEOM

Inside the box8.12
Outside the box5

Player Shots Al-Hazm

Omar Al Somah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target42%
M. Carvalho
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Oumarou
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target30%
Yousef Al Shammari
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
Fábio Martins
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots NEOM

S. Benrahma
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Lacazette
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target23%
R. Messi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Abdulaziz Noor
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Hazm xG (home)1.21
NEOM xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

46.09% Possession 52.76%

Team Comparison Al-Hazm vs NEOM

80.71% Pass accuracy 83.58%
362.71 Passes per match 412.61
0.19 Goals prevented 0.39
12.47 Fouls committed 11.48
3.29 Goalkeeper saves 3.15
2.25 Offsides 1.72
15.82 Tackles per match 15.58

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al-Hazm vs NEOM prediction analysis

Review Al-Hazm vs NEOM with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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