Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Nassr

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Nassr prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-01-12 17:30
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
66%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al-Nassr
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
23%
2
41%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Home)

Goals scored / match2.41
Goals conceded / match0.65
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate47%

Al-Nassr (Away)

Goals scored / match2.65
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al-Hilal Saudi FC
WWDWW
Al-Nassr
WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 100%
76% +1.5 82%
41% +2.5 41%
18% +3.5 24%
6% +4.5 18%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC averages 2.41 goals scored at home, while Al-Nassr averages 2.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
23%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
67%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Al-Hilal Saudi FC(A) 1 - 1 Al-Nassr Draw
Jan 2026 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 - 1 Al-Nassr Home
Apr 2025 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1 - 3 Al-Nassr Away
Nov 2024 Al-Hilal Saudi FC(A) 1 - 1 Al-Nassr Draw
May 2024 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1 - 1 Al-Nassr Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Al-Hilal Saudi FC won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Al-Hilal Saudi FC — unbeaten run (home)17
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — scoring streak (home)7
Al-Nassr — winless run (away)0
Al-Nassr — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al-Hilal Saudi FC Win (1)36%
Draw (X)23%
Al-Nassr Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 100%
76% +1.5 82%
41% +2.5 41%
18% +3.5 24%
6% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 0%
24% -1.5 18%
59% -2.5 59%
82% -3.5 76%
94% -4.5 82%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Nassr — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al-Hilal Saudi FC — scored (home)2.41
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — conceded (home)0.65
Al-Nassr — scored (away)2.65
Al-Nassr — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals3.41

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%
No33%

Rate per Team

Al-Hilal Saudi FC — BTTS matches (home)47%
Al-Nassr — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al-Hilal Saudi FC (home)

Corners for6.3
Corners against3.2

Al-Nassr (away)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al-Hilal Saudi FC
13 13 8 8 8
Al-Nassr
11 11 10 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Al-Hilal Saudi FC (home)

For1.1

Al-Nassr (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Al-Hilal Saudi FC — total shots (home)16.1
Al-Nassr — total shots (away)18.0

Shots on Target

Al-Hilal Saudi FC — on target (home)6.8
Al-Nassr — on target (away)6.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Inside the box10.79
Outside the box5.21

Al-Nassr

Inside the box12.26
Outside the box5.65

Player Shots Al-Hilal Saudi FC

K. Benzema
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target90%
+1.5 On Target60%
D. Núñez
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target44%
S. Milinković-Savić
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target34%
Marcos Leonardo
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target33%
Malcom
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Al-Nassr

Cristiano Ronaldo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target93%
+1.5 On Target63%
João Félix
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target42%
S. Mané
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
K. Coman
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target33%
Ângelo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Hilal Saudi FC xG (home)2.31
Al-Nassr xG (away)2.23

Average Possession

59.29% Possession 58.32%

Team Comparison Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Nassr

87.15% Pass accuracy 86.15%
506.26 Passes per match 440.18
0.12 Goals prevented 0.33
10.47 Fouls committed 12.41
1.79 Goalkeeper saves 1.82
2.26 Offsides 3.06
16.76 Tackles per match 14

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Nassr prediction analysis

Review Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Nassr with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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