Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Kholood vs NEOM

Al Kholood vs NEOM prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-10-30 17:30
Al Kholood
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
NEOM
Away

Prediction Summary

1
25%
X
24%
2
51%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al Kholood (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate53%

NEOM (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Kholood
DLDDD
NEOM
DLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 71%
24% +1.5 41%
6% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al Kholood averages 1 goals scored at home, while NEOM averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
25%
Draw
24%
Away Win
51%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2026 Al Kholood(A) 2 - 1 NEOM Home
Oct 2025 Al Kholood 2 - 3 NEOM Away

In the last 2 meetings, Al Kholood won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Al Kholood — unbeaten run (home)4
Al Kholood — scoring streak (home)0
NEOM — winless run (away)3
NEOM — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Kholood Win (1)25%
Draw (X)24%
NEOM Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 71%
24% +1.5 41%
6% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 29%
76% -1.5 59%
94% -2.5 82%
94% -3.5 94%
94% -4.5 100%

Al Kholood vs NEOM — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Kholood — scored (home)1
Al Kholood — conceded (home)1.82
NEOM — scored (away)1.35
NEOM — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Al Kholood — BTTS matches (home)53%
NEOM — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.573%
Under 8.527%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Kholood (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.4

NEOM (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Kholood
9 8 9 6 10
NEOM
7 12 8 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Kholood (home)

For1.4

NEOM (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Al Kholood — total shots (home)9.3
NEOM — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

Al Kholood — on target (home)3.4
NEOM — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Kholood

Inside the box6.44
Outside the box3.32

NEOM

Inside the box8.12
Outside the box5

Player Shots Al Kholood

R. Enrique
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Maolida
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target18%
Iker Kortajarena
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%
Abdulaziz Al Elewai
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target6%
Hattan Bahbri
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots NEOM

S. Benrahma
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Lacazette
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target23%
R. Messi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Abdulaziz Noor
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Kholood xG (home)1.09
NEOM xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

47.09% Possession 52.76%

Team Comparison Al Kholood vs NEOM

82.79% Pass accuracy 83.58%
383.88 Passes per match 412.61
0.23 Goals prevented 0.39
10.35 Fouls committed 11.48
3.3 Goalkeeper saves 3.15
2 Offsides 1.72
14.29 Tackles per match 15.58

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Kholood vs NEOM prediction analysis

Review Al Kholood vs NEOM with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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