Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Najma vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Al Najma vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-11-07 17:30
Al Najma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
High
Score
0-2
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
9%
X
16%
2
75%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Al Najma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match2.12
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate76%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Away)

Goals scored / match2.59
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Najma
WLDDL
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
WWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 100%
35% +1.5 71%
6% +2.5 41%
0% +3.5 24%
0% +4.5 18%
76% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is High.

Al Najma averages 1.24 goals scored at home, while Al-Hilal Saudi FC averages 2.59 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
9%
Draw
16%
Away Win
75%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Al Najma(A) 0 - 4 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Away
Nov 2025 Al Najma 2 - 4 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Away

In the last 2 meetings, Al Najma won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Al Najma — unbeaten run (home)2
Al Najma — scoring streak (home)6
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — winless run (away)0
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Najma Win (1)9%
Draw (X)16%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC Win (2)75%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 100%
35% +1.5 71%
6% +2.5 41%
0% +3.5 24%
0% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 0%
65% -1.5 29%
94% -2.5 59%
100% -3.5 76%
100% -4.5 82%

Al Najma vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Najma — scored (home)1.24
Al Najma — conceded (home)2.12
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — scored (away)2.59
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Al Najma — BTTS matches (home)76%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Najma (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.8

Al-Hilal Saudi FC (away)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Najma
6 10 8 10 17
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
13 13 8 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Najma (home)

For1.7

Al-Hilal Saudi FC (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Al Najma — total shots (home)10.1
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — total shots (away)15.9

Shots on Target

Al Najma — on target (home)3.3
Al-Hilal Saudi FC — on target (away)7.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Najma

Inside the box5.47
Outside the box3.74

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Inside the box10.79
Outside the box5.21

Player Shots Al Najma

Ali Jasim
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
Felippe Cardoso
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target7%
Lázaro
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Jasim
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target6%
B. Boutobba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Al-Hilal Saudi FC

K. Benzema
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target90%
+1.5 On Target60%
D. Núñez
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target44%
S. Milinković-Savić
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target34%
Marcos Leonardo
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target33%
Malcom
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Najma xG (home)0.86
Al-Hilal Saudi FC xG (away)2.31

Average Possession

45.06% Possession 59.29%

Team Comparison Al Najma vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC

80.32% Pass accuracy 87.15%
359.21 Passes per match 506.26
-0.03 Goals prevented 0.12
9.71 Fouls committed 10.47
3.59 Goalkeeper saves 1.79
2.21 Offsides 2.26
15.85 Tackles per match 16.76

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Najma vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC prediction analysis

Review Al Najma vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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