Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Najma vs Al-Ittihad FC

Al Najma vs Al-Ittihad FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-09-20 15:40
Al Najma
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
67%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-2
Al-Ittihad FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
21%
2
52%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al Najma (Home)

Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match2.12
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate76%

Al-Ittihad FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Najma
WLDDL
Al-Ittihad FC
LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 94%
35% +1.5 47%
6% +2.5 29%
0% +3.5 18%
0% +4.5 6%
76% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al Najma averages 1.24 goals scored at home, while Al-Ittihad FC averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
21%
Away Win
52%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
66%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2026 Al Najma(A) 0 - 1 Al-Ittihad FC Away
Sep 2025 Al Najma 0 - 1 Al-Ittihad FC Away

In the last 2 meetings, Al Najma won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Al Najma — unbeaten run (home)2
Al Najma — scoring streak (home)6
Al-Ittihad FC — winless run (away)1
Al-Ittihad FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Najma Win (1)27%
Draw (X)21%
Al-Ittihad FC Win (2)52%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 94%
35% +1.5 47%
6% +2.5 29%
0% +3.5 18%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 6%
65% -1.5 53%
94% -2.5 71%
100% -3.5 82%
100% -4.5 94%

Al Najma vs Al-Ittihad FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Najma — scored (home)1.24
Al Najma — conceded (home)2.12
Al-Ittihad FC — scored (away)1.94
Al-Ittihad FC — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals3.44

Both Teams To Score

Yes66%
No34%

Rate per Team

Al Najma — BTTS matches (home)76%
Al-Ittihad FC — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)76%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Najma (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.8

Al-Ittihad FC (away)

Corners for6.1
Corners against4.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Najma
6 10 8 10 17
Al-Ittihad FC
8 10 6 15 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Najma (home)

For1.7

Al-Ittihad FC (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Al Najma — total shots (home)10.1
Al-Ittihad FC — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Al Najma — on target (home)3.3
Al-Ittihad FC — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Najma

Inside the box5.47
Outside the box3.74

Al-Ittihad FC

Inside the box9.03
Outside the box4.32

Player Shots Al Najma

Ali Jasim
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
Felippe Cardoso
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target7%
Lázaro
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Jasim
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target6%
B. Boutobba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Al-Ittihad FC

K. Benzema
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
Y. En-Nesyri
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%
H. Aouar
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Bergwijn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Diaby
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Najma xG (home)0.86
Al-Ittihad FC xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

45.06% Possession 58.03%

Team Comparison Al Najma vs Al-Ittihad FC

80.32% Pass accuracy 86.88%
359.21 Passes per match 486.94
-0.03 Goals prevented 0.43
9.71 Fouls committed 12.18
3.59 Goalkeeper saves 3.09
2.21 Offsides 1.68
15.85 Tackles per match 14.15

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Najma vs Al-Ittihad FC prediction analysis

Review Al Najma vs Al-Ittihad FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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