What markets are included in the Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh

Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-08-15 18:00

Al-Nassr

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Home Win

Pick

Al-Nassr

Probability

69%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

Al-Fateh

Away

Prediction Summary

69%

19%

13%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS · No edge

50%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Al-Nassr (Home)

Goals scored / match2.71

Goals conceded / match0.71

Over 2.5 rate47%

BTTS rate53%

Al-Fateh (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al-Nassr

WDWLW

Al-Fateh

DWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 71%

71% +1.5 18%

47% +2.5 6%

35% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al-Nassr averages 2.71 goals scored at home, while Al-Fateh averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

69%

Draw

19%

Away Win

13%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Al-Nassr(A) 2 - 0 Al-Fateh Home

Oct 2025 Al-Nassr 5 - 1 Al-Fateh Home

May 2025 Al-Nassr(A) 2 - 3 Al-Fateh Away

Jan 2025 Al-Nassr 3 - 1 Al-Fateh Home

Feb 2024 Al-Nassr 2 - 1 Al-Fateh Home

In the last 5 meetings, Al-Nassr won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Al-Nassr — unbeaten run (home)10

Al-Nassr — scoring streak (home)17

Al-Fateh — winless run (away)10

Al-Fateh — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al-Nassr Win (1)69%

Draw (X)19%

Al-Fateh Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 71%

71% +1.5 18%

47% +2.5 6%

35% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 29%

29% -1.5 82%

53% -2.5 94%

65% -3.5 100%

82% -4.5 100%

Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al-Nassr — scored (home)2.71

Al-Nassr — conceded (home)0.71

Al-Fateh — scored (away)0.94

Al-Fateh — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals3.03

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%

No50%

Rate per Team

Al-Nassr — BTTS matches (home)53%

Al-Fateh — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.551%

Under 9.549%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al-Nassr (home)

Corners for7.3

Corners against2.8

Al-Fateh (away)

Corners for4.6

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al-Nassr

11 11 10 8 8

Al-Fateh

12 4 7 10 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Al-Nassr (home)

For2.2

Al-Fateh (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.567%

Under 19.533%

Over 22.554%

Under 22.546%

Over 25.541%

Under 25.559%

Expected total shots24.29

Al-Nassr

Shots Over 9.580%

Shots Over 11.567%

Shots Over 13.554%

Expected shots14.69

On Target Over 3.576%

On Target Over 4.563%

On Target Over 5.549%

Expected on target5.86

Al-Fateh

Shots Over 9.546%

Shots Over 11.530%

Shots Over 13.518%

Expected shots9.60

On Target Over 3.548%

On Target Over 4.532%

On Target Over 5.520%

Expected on target3.70

Shots per Game

Al-Nassr — total shots (home)17.8

Al-Fateh — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Al-Nassr — on target (home)7.7

Al-Fateh — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al-Nassr

Inside the box12.26

Outside the box5.65

Al-Fateh

Inside the box7.71

Outside the box4.71

Player Shots Al-Nassr

Cristiano Ronaldo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target93%

+1.5 On Target63%

João Félix

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target42%

S. Mané

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target28%

K. Coman

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target33%

Ângelo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Al-Fateh

M. Batna

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target45%

K. Toko Ekambi

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target29%

S. Bendebka

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target14%

M. Vargas

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target14%

Abdullah Al Anazi

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Nassr xG (home)2.23

Al-Fateh xG (away)1.48

Average Possession

58.32% Possession 46.35%

Team Comparison Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh

86.15% Pass accuracy 78.41%

440.18 Passes per match 319.21

0.33 Goals prevented 0.44

12.41 Fouls committed 13.09

1.82 Goalkeeper saves 3.68

3.06 Offsides 2.26

14 Tackles per match 18.06

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh prediction analysis

Review Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights