Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Okhdood vs Al Najma

Al Okhdood vs Al Najma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Pro League 2025-10-31 13:40
Al Okhdood
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
84%
Confidence
High
Score
2-2
Al Najma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
19%
2
35%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS Yes
81%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Al Okhdood (Home)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match2.24
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate59%

Al Najma (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match2.35
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Okhdood
LWDLL
Al Najma
WLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 53%
35% +1.5 12%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 84%. Model confidence is High.

Al Okhdood averages 1.12 goals scored at home, while Al Najma averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
84%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
19%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS Yes
81%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2026 Al Okhdood(A) 3 - 1 Al Najma Home
Oct 2025 Al Okhdood 2 - 1 Al Najma Home

In the last 2 meetings, Al Okhdood won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Al Okhdood — unbeaten run (home)1
Al Okhdood — scoring streak (home)2
Al Najma — winless run (away)17
Al Najma — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Okhdood Win (1)47%
Draw (X)19%
Al Najma Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 53%
35% +1.5 12%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 47%
65% -1.5 88%
94% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Al Okhdood vs Al Najma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Okhdood — scored (home)1.12
Al Okhdood — conceded (home)2.24
Al Najma — scored (away)0.65
Al Najma — conceded (away)2.35
Model expected combined goals4.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes81%
No19%

Rate per Team

Al Okhdood — BTTS matches (home)59%
Al Najma — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Okhdood (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.6

Al Najma (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against7.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Okhdood
13 12 9 9 11
Al Najma
6 10 8 10 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Okhdood (home)

For2.4

Al Najma (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Al Okhdood — total shots (home)9.9
Al Najma — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Al Okhdood — on target (home)3.6
Al Najma — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Okhdood

Inside the box4.59
Outside the box3.76

Al Najma

Inside the box5.47
Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Al Okhdood

K. Narey
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target32%
C. Bassogog
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. Kramer
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Nguen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. İnce
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Al Najma

Ali Jasim
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
Felippe Cardoso
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target7%
Lázaro
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Jasim
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target6%
B. Boutobba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Okhdood xG (home)0.88
Al Najma xG (away)0.86

Average Possession

42.18% Possession 45.06%

Team Comparison Al Okhdood vs Al Najma

79.65% Pass accuracy 80.32%
331.91 Passes per match 359.21
0.31 Goals prevented -0.03
10.26 Fouls committed 9.71
4.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.59
1.64 Offsides 2.21
13.35 Tackles per match 15.85

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Okhdood vs Al Najma prediction analysis

Review Al Okhdood vs Al Najma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top