Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-08-21 18:00
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al-Ittihad FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
22%
2
26%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al-Qadisiyah FC (Home)

Goals scored / match2.35
Goals conceded / match0.76
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate59%

Al-Ittihad FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al-Qadisiyah FC
WWWWW
Al-Ittihad FC
LLWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 94%
71% +1.5 47%
41% +2.5 29%
24% +3.5 18%
6% +4.5 6%
59% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 2.35 goals scored at home, while Al-Ittihad FC averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
22%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Yes
64%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Al-Qadisiyah FC(A) 5 - 1 Al-Ittihad FC Home
Jan 2026 Al-Qadisiyah FC 2 - 1 Al-Ittihad FC Home
May 2025 Al-Qadisiyah FC(A) 1 - 3 Al-Ittihad FC Away
Mar 2025 Al-Qadisiyah FC 1 - 1 Al-Ittihad FC Draw
Oct 2024 Al-Qadisiyah FC(A) 1 - 3 Al-Ittihad FC Away

In the last 5 meetings, Al-Qadisiyah FC won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Al-Qadisiyah FC — unbeaten run (home)17
Al-Qadisiyah FC — scoring streak (home)14
Al-Ittihad FC — winless run (away)1
Al-Ittihad FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al-Qadisiyah FC Win (1)52%
Draw (X)22%
Al-Ittihad FC Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 94%
71% +1.5 47%
41% +2.5 29%
24% +3.5 18%
6% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 6%
29% -1.5 53%
59% -2.5 71%
76% -3.5 82%
94% -4.5 94%

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al-Qadisiyah FC — scored (home)2.35
Al-Qadisiyah FC — conceded (home)0.76
Al-Ittihad FC — scored (away)1.94
Al-Ittihad FC — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals3.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%
No36%

Rate per Team

Al-Qadisiyah FC — BTTS matches (home)59%
Al-Ittihad FC — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al-Qadisiyah FC (home)

Corners for8.5
Corners against3.0

Al-Ittihad FC (away)

Corners for6.1
Corners against4.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al-Qadisiyah FC
14 11 6 10 15
Al-Ittihad FC
8 10 6 15 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Al-Qadisiyah FC (home)

For1.7

Al-Ittihad FC (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.566%
Under 19.534%
Over 22.553%
Under 22.547%
Over 25.540%
Under 25.560%
Expected total shots24.05

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.23
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.536%
Expected on target4.86

Al-Ittihad FC

Shots Over 9.557%
Shots Over 11.540%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots10.82
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.01

Shots per Game

Al-Qadisiyah FC — total shots (home)14.8
Al-Ittihad FC — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Al-Qadisiyah FC — on target (home)5.2
Al-Ittihad FC — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Inside the box10.97
Outside the box3.85

Al-Ittihad FC

Inside the box9.03
Outside the box4.32

Player Shots Al-Qadisiyah FC

J. Quiñones
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target84%
+1.5 On Target58%
M. Retegui
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target39%
Musab Al Juwayr
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target3%
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target13%
N. Nández
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Al-Ittihad FC

K. Benzema
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
Y. En-Nesyri
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target23%
H. Aouar
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Bergwijn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target19%
M. Diaby
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Qadisiyah FC xG (home)2.37
Al-Ittihad FC xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

60.53% Possession 58.03%

Team Comparison Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC

86.97% Pass accuracy 86.88%
526.65 Passes per match 486.94
0.25 Goals prevented 0.43
12.26 Fouls committed 12.18
2.33 Goalkeeper saves 3.09
2.56 Offsides 1.68
15.32 Tackles per match 14.15

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC prediction analysis

Review Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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