Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Riyadh

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Riyadh prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-01-04 17:30
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Al Riyadh
Away

Prediction Summary

1
75%
X
16%
2
9%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Al-Qadisiyah FC (Home)

Goals scored / match2.35
Goals conceded / match0.76
Over 2.5 rate41%
BTTS rate59%

Al Riyadh (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match2.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate71%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al-Qadisiyah FC
WWWWW
Al Riyadh
WDWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 76%
71% +1.5 24%
41% +2.5 6%
24% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 71%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is High.

Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 2.35 goals scored at home, while Al Riyadh averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
75%
Draw
16%
Away Win
9%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Al-Qadisiyah FC(A) 4 - 0 Al Riyadh Home
Jan 2026 Al-Qadisiyah FC 4 - 0 Al Riyadh Home
Mar 2025 Al-Qadisiyah FC 1 - 0 Al Riyadh Home
Oct 2024 Al-Qadisiyah FC(A) 1 - 2 Al Riyadh Away
Feb 2023 Al-Qadisiyah FC(A) 2 - 1 Al Riyadh Home

In the last 5 meetings, Al-Qadisiyah FC won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Al-Qadisiyah FC — unbeaten run (home)17
Al-Qadisiyah FC — scoring streak (home)14
Al Riyadh — winless run (away)3
Al Riyadh — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al-Qadisiyah FC Win (1)75%
Draw (X)16%
Al Riyadh Win (2)9%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 76%
71% +1.5 24%
41% +2.5 6%
24% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 24%
29% -1.5 76%
59% -2.5 94%
76% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Riyadh — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al-Qadisiyah FC — scored (home)2.35
Al-Qadisiyah FC — conceded (home)0.76
Al Riyadh — scored (away)1.06
Al Riyadh — conceded (away)2.35
Model expected combined goals3.1

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Al-Qadisiyah FC — BTTS matches (home)59%
Al Riyadh — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.588%
Under 7.512%
Over 8.585%
Under 8.515%
Over 9.574%
Under 9.526%
Over 10.568%
Under 10.532%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al-Qadisiyah FC (home)

Corners for8.5
Corners against3.0

Al Riyadh (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al-Qadisiyah FC
14 11 6 10 15
Al Riyadh
14 15 7 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Al-Qadisiyah FC (home)

For1.7

Al Riyadh (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Al-Qadisiyah FC — total shots (home)14.8
Al Riyadh — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Al-Qadisiyah FC — on target (home)5.2
Al Riyadh — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Inside the box10.97
Outside the box3.85

Al Riyadh

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.56

Player Shots Al-Qadisiyah FC

J. Quiñones
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target84%
+1.5 On Target58%
M. Retegui
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target39%
Musab Al Juwayr
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target3%
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target13%
N. Nández
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Al Riyadh

Leandro Antunes
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target53%
M. Sylla
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
Tozé
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
T. Okou
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Haroun
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Qadisiyah FC xG (home)2.37
Al Riyadh xG (away)1.43

Average Possession

60.53% Possession 41.94%

Team Comparison Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Riyadh

86.97% Pass accuracy 79.03%
526.65 Passes per match 319.12
0.25 Goals prevented 0.18
12.26 Fouls committed 12.71
2.33 Goalkeeper saves 3.24
2.56 Offsides 1.58
15.32 Tackles per match 13.38

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Riyadh prediction analysis

Review Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Riyadh with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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