Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Riyadh vs Al-Fayha

Al Riyadh vs Al-Fayha prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-01-10 15:00
Al Riyadh
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al-Fayha
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
24%
2
32%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al Riyadh (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate59%

Al-Fayha (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Riyadh
WDWLL
Al-Fayha
LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 59%
18% +1.5 29%
6% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
59% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al Riyadh averages 1 goals scored at home, while Al-Fayha averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
24%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Al Riyadh(A) 2 - 4 Al-Fayha Away
Jan 2026 Al Riyadh 1 - 1 Al-Fayha Draw
Feb 2025 Al Riyadh 0 - 0 Al-Fayha Draw
Sep 2024 Al Riyadh(A) 0 - 2 Al-Fayha Away
Mar 2024 Al Riyadh(A) 1 - 1 Al-Fayha Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Al Riyadh won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Al Riyadh — unbeaten run (home)2
Al Riyadh — scoring streak (home)2
Al-Fayha — winless run (away)4
Al-Fayha — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Riyadh Win (1)43%
Draw (X)24%
Al-Fayha Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 59%
18% +1.5 29%
6% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 41%
82% -1.5 71%
94% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

Al Riyadh vs Al-Fayha — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Riyadh — scored (home)1
Al Riyadh — conceded (home)1.35
Al-Fayha — scored (away)1.12
Al-Fayha — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Al Riyadh — BTTS matches (home)59%
Al-Fayha — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Riyadh (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against5.1

Al-Fayha (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Riyadh
14 15 7 7 11
Al-Fayha
9 15 6 13 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Riyadh (home)

For2.4

Al-Fayha (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Al Riyadh — total shots (home)11.5
Al-Fayha — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Al Riyadh — on target (home)3.2
Al-Fayha — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Riyadh

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.56

Al-Fayha

Inside the box6.44
Outside the box3.71

Player Shots Al Riyadh

Leandro Antunes
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target53%
M. Sylla
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
Tozé
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
T. Okou
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Haroun
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Al-Fayha

F. Sakala
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target28%
Jason
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
Y. Benzia
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
Abdullah Radif
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Ganvoula
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Riyadh xG (home)1.43
Al-Fayha xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

41.94% Possession 44.74%

Team Comparison Al Riyadh vs Al-Fayha

79.03% Pass accuracy 82.21%
319.12 Passes per match 365
0.18 Goals prevented -0.27
12.71 Fouls committed 10.53
3.24 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.58 Offsides 2.33
13.38 Tackles per match 15.56

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Riyadh vs Al-Fayha prediction analysis

Review Al Riyadh vs Al-Fayha with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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