Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Riyadh vs Al-Hazm

Al Riyadh vs Al-Hazm prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-12-29 17:30
Al Riyadh
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Al-Hazm
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
28%
2
41%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al Riyadh (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate59%

Al-Hazm (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Riyadh
WDWLL
Al-Hazm
WLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 59%
18% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al Riyadh averages 1 goals scored at home, while Al-Hazm averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
28%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Al Riyadh(A) 1 - 2 Al-Hazm Away
Dec 2025 Al Riyadh 1 - 2 Al-Hazm Away
May 2024 Al Riyadh(A) 1 - 1 Al-Hazm Draw
Nov 2023 Al Riyadh 0 - 0 Al-Hazm Draw
Apr 2023 Al Riyadh 0 - 0 Al-Hazm Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Al Riyadh won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Al Riyadh — unbeaten run (home)2
Al Riyadh — scoring streak (home)2
Al-Hazm — winless run (away)10
Al-Hazm — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Riyadh Win (1)32%
Draw (X)28%
Al-Hazm Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 59%
18% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 41%
82% -1.5 65%
94% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Al Riyadh vs Al-Hazm — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Riyadh — scored (home)1
Al Riyadh — conceded (home)1.35
Al-Hazm — scored (away)0.94
Al-Hazm — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Al Riyadh — BTTS matches (home)59%
Al-Hazm — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Riyadh (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against5.1

Al-Hazm (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Riyadh
14 15 7 7 11
Al-Hazm
7 13 8 10 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Riyadh (home)

For2.4

Al-Hazm (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Al Riyadh — total shots (home)11.5
Al-Hazm — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Al Riyadh — on target (home)3.2
Al-Hazm — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Riyadh

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.56

Al-Hazm

Inside the box6.32
Outside the box5.41

Player Shots Al Riyadh

Leandro Antunes
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target53%
M. Sylla
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
Tozé
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
T. Okou
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Haroun
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Al-Hazm

Omar Al Somah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target42%
M. Carvalho
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Y. Oumarou
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target30%
Yousef Al Shammari
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
Fábio Martins
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Riyadh xG (home)1.43
Al-Hazm xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

41.94% Possession 46.09%

Team Comparison Al Riyadh vs Al-Hazm

79.03% Pass accuracy 80.71%
319.12 Passes per match 362.71
0.18 Goals prevented 0.19
12.71 Fouls committed 12.47
3.24 Goalkeeper saves 3.29
1.58 Offsides 2.25
13.38 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Riyadh vs Al-Hazm prediction analysis

Review Al Riyadh vs Al-Hazm with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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