Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood

Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-10-23 14:55
Al Riyadh
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Al Kholood
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
27%
2
33%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Al Riyadh (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate59%

Al Kholood (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.76
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Riyadh
WDWLL
Al Kholood
DLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 53%
18% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 12%
59% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Al Riyadh averages 1 goals scored at home, while Al Kholood averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
27%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Al Riyadh(A) 2 - 0 Al Kholood Home
Oct 2025 Al Riyadh 1 - 0 Al Kholood Home
Feb 2025 Al Riyadh(A) 2 - 3 Al Kholood Away
Aug 2024 Al Riyadh 3 - 1 Al Kholood Home
Jan 2023 Al Riyadh 1 - 1 Al Kholood Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Al Riyadh won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Al Riyadh — unbeaten run (home)2
Al Riyadh — scoring streak (home)2
Al Kholood — winless run (away)2
Al Kholood — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Riyadh Win (1)40%
Draw (X)27%
Al Kholood Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 53%
18% +1.5 35%
6% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 12%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 47%
82% -1.5 65%
94% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 88%

Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Riyadh — scored (home)1
Al Riyadh — conceded (home)1.35
Al Kholood — scored (away)1.29
Al Kholood — conceded (away)1.76
Model expected combined goals2.51

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Al Riyadh — BTTS matches (home)59%
Al Kholood — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Riyadh (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against5.1

Al Kholood (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Riyadh
14 15 7 7 11
Al Kholood
9 8 9 6 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Riyadh (home)

For2.4

Al Kholood (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Al Riyadh — total shots (home)11.5
Al Kholood — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Al Riyadh — on target (home)3.2
Al Kholood — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Riyadh

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.56

Al Kholood

Inside the box6.44
Outside the box3.32

Player Shots Al Riyadh

Leandro Antunes
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target53%
M. Sylla
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
Tozé
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
T. Okou
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Haroun
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Al Kholood

R. Enrique
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Maolida
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target18%
Iker Kortajarena
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%
Abdulaziz Al Elewai
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target6%
Hattan Bahbri
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Riyadh xG (home)1.43
Al Kholood xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

41.94% Possession 47.09%

Team Comparison Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood

79.03% Pass accuracy 82.79%
319.12 Passes per match 383.88
0.18 Goals prevented 0.23
12.71 Fouls committed 10.35
3.24 Goalkeeper saves 3.3
1.58 Offsides 2
13.38 Tackles per match 14.29

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood prediction analysis

Review Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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