What markets are included in the Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-08-21 16:00

Al Riyadh

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Away Win

Pick

Al-Nassr

Probability

61%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Al-Nassr

Away

Prediction Summary

18%

21%

61%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS Yes

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Al Riyadh (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate59%

Al-Nassr (Away)

Goals scored / match2.65

Goals conceded / match0.94

Over 2.5 rate41%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Riyadh

WDWLL

Al-Nassr

WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 100%

18% +1.5 82%

6% +2.5 41%

0% +3.5 24%

0% +4.5 18%

59% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Away Win with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al Riyadh averages 1 goals scored at home, while Al-Nassr averages 2.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

18%

Draw

21%

Away Win

61%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Al Riyadh 0 - 1 Al-Nassr Away

Sep 2025 Al Riyadh(A) 1 - 5 Al-Nassr Away

Apr 2025 Al Riyadh(A) 1 - 2 Al-Nassr Away

Nov 2024 Al Riyadh 0 - 1 Al-Nassr Away

May 2024 Al Riyadh 2 - 2 Al-Nassr Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Al Riyadh won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Al Riyadh — unbeaten run (home)2

Al Riyadh — scoring streak (home)2

Al-Nassr — winless run (away)0

Al-Nassr — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Riyadh Win (1)18%

Draw (X)21%

Al-Nassr Win (2)61%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 100%

18% +1.5 82%

6% +2.5 41%

0% +3.5 24%

0% +4.5 18%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 0%

82% -1.5 18%

94% -2.5 59%

100% -3.5 76%

100% -4.5 82%

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Riyadh — scored (home)1

Al Riyadh — conceded (home)1.35

Al-Nassr — scored (away)2.65

Al-Nassr — conceded (away)0.94

Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

Al Riyadh — BTTS matches (home)59%

Al-Nassr — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.551%

Under 9.549%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Riyadh (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against5.1

Al-Nassr (away)

Corners for6.6

Corners against3.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Riyadh

14 15 7 7 11

Al-Nassr

11 11 10 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Riyadh (home)

For2.4

Al-Nassr (away)

For1.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%

Under 19.531%

Over 22.555%

Under 22.545%

Over 25.542%

Under 25.558%

Expected total shots24.66

Al Riyadh

Shots Over 9.557%

Shots Over 11.540%

Shots Over 13.526%

Expected shots10.81

On Target Over 3.546%

On Target Over 4.530%

On Target Over 5.519%

Expected on target3.60

Al-Nassr

Shots Over 9.576%

Shots Over 11.562%

Shots Over 13.548%

Expected shots13.85

On Target Over 3.567%

On Target Over 4.552%

On Target Over 5.538%

Expected on target5.00

Shots per Game

Al Riyadh — total shots (home)11.5

Al-Nassr — total shots (away)18.0

Shots on Target

Al Riyadh — on target (home)3.2

Al-Nassr — on target (away)6.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Riyadh

Inside the box8.09

Outside the box4.56

Al-Nassr

Inside the box12.26

Outside the box5.65

Player Shots Al Riyadh

Leandro Antunes

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target53%

M. Sylla

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target23%

Tozé

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Okou

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target9%

S. Haroun

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Al-Nassr

Cristiano Ronaldo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target93%

+1.5 On Target63%

João Félix

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target42%

S. Mané

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target28%

K. Coman

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target33%

Ângelo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Riyadh xG (home)1.43

Al-Nassr xG (away)2.23

Average Possession

41.94% Possession 58.32%

Team Comparison Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr

79.03% Pass accuracy 86.15%

319.12 Passes per match 440.18

0.18 Goals prevented 0.33

12.71 Fouls committed 12.41

3.24 Goalkeeper saves 1.82

1.58 Offsides 3.06

13.38 Tackles per match 14

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr prediction analysis

Review Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights