Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Riyadh vs Damac

Al Riyadh vs Damac prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-11-06 17:30
Al Riyadh
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Damac
Away

Prediction Summary

1
63%
X
19%
2
18%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al Riyadh (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate59%

Damac (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Riyadh
WDWLL
Damac
LWLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 71%
18% +1.5 6%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al Riyadh averages 1 goals scored at home, while Damac averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
63%
Draw
19%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Al Riyadh(A) 0 - 3 Damac Away
Nov 2025 Al Riyadh 1 - 1 Damac Draw
Apr 2025 Al Riyadh 0 - 0 Damac Draw
Nov 2024 Al Riyadh(A) 2 - 2 Damac Draw
Dec 2023 Al Riyadh 1 - 0 Damac Home

In the last 5 meetings, Al Riyadh won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Al Riyadh — unbeaten run (home)2
Al Riyadh — scoring streak (home)2
Damac — winless run (away)4
Damac — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Riyadh Win (1)63%
Draw (X)19%
Damac Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 71%
18% +1.5 6%
6% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 29%
82% -1.5 94%
94% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Al Riyadh vs Damac — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Riyadh — scored (home)1
Al Riyadh — conceded (home)1.35
Damac — scored (away)0.82
Damac — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

Al Riyadh — BTTS matches (home)59%
Damac — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Riyadh (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against5.1

Damac (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Riyadh
14 15 7 7 11
Damac
14 5 10 13 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Riyadh (home)

For2.4

Damac (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Al Riyadh — total shots (home)11.5
Damac — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Al Riyadh — on target (home)3.2
Damac — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Riyadh

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.56

Damac

Inside the box6.24
Outside the box4.26

Player Shots Al Riyadh

Leandro Antunes
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target53%
M. Sylla
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target23%
Tozé
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
T. Okou
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Haroun
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Damac

J. Okita
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Y. Meïté
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
V. Vada
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target6%
Abdullah Al Qahtani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Medina
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Riyadh xG (home)1.43
Damac xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

41.94% Possession 46.79%

Team Comparison Al Riyadh vs Damac

79.03% Pass accuracy 81.24%
319.12 Passes per match 363.88
0.18 Goals prevented -0.27
12.71 Fouls committed 10.85
3.24 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
1.58 Offsides 2.12
13.38 Tackles per match 13.53

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Riyadh vs Damac prediction analysis

Review Al Riyadh vs Damac with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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