Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Shabab vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

Al Shabab vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-08-13 18:00
Al Shabab
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
73%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
23%
X
20%
2
57%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
69%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Al Shabab (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match2.12
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate76%

Al-Qadisiyah FC (Away)

Goals scored / match2.53
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Shabab
LWLLL
Al-Qadisiyah FC
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 94%
47% +1.5 71%
24% +2.5 47%
0% +3.5 29%
0% +4.5 12%
76% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 73%. Model confidence is High.

Al Shabab averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Al-Qadisiyah FC averages 2.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
23%
Draw
20%
Away Win
57%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS Yes
69%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Al Shabab(A) 2 - 2 Al-Qadisiyah FC Draw
Dec 2025 Al Shabab 2 - 3 Al-Qadisiyah FC Away
Feb 2025 Al Shabab 2 - 3 Al-Qadisiyah FC Away
Sep 2024 Al Shabab(A) 1 - 0 Al-Qadisiyah FC Home
Mar 2021 Al Shabab 1 - 1 Al-Qadisiyah FC Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Al Shabab won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Al Shabab — unbeaten run (home)1
Al Shabab — scoring streak (home)9
Al-Qadisiyah FC — winless run (away)0
Al-Qadisiyah FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Shabab Win (1)23%
Draw (X)20%
Al-Qadisiyah FC Win (2)57%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 94%
47% +1.5 71%
24% +2.5 47%
0% +3.5 29%
0% +4.5 12%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 6%
53% -1.5 29%
76% -2.5 53%
100% -3.5 71%
100% -4.5 88%

Al Shabab vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Shabab — scored (home)1.65
Al Shabab — conceded (home)2.12
Al-Qadisiyah FC — scored (away)2.53
Al-Qadisiyah FC — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals3.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%
No31%

Rate per Team

Al Shabab — BTTS matches (home)76%
Al-Qadisiyah FC — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)76%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Shabab (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against5.4

Al-Qadisiyah FC (away)

Corners for6.4
Corners against3.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Shabab
8 10 8 15 17
Al-Qadisiyah FC
14 11 6 10 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Shabab (home)

For1.9

Al-Qadisiyah FC (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.559%
Under 22.541%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.52

Al Shabab

Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.540%
Expected shots12.77
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.70

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.540%
Expected shots12.75
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.68

Shots per Game

Al Shabab — total shots (home)14.4
Al-Qadisiyah FC — total shots (away)14.9

Shots on Target

Al Shabab — on target (home)5.7
Al-Qadisiyah FC — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Shabab

Inside the box8.32
Outside the box4.5

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Inside the box10.97
Outside the box3.85

Player Shots Al Shabab

Y. Carrasco
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target52%
A. Hamed Allah
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target21%
Haroune Camara
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Carlos Júnior
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
Y. Adli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Al-Qadisiyah FC

J. Quiñones
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target84%
+1.5 On Target58%
M. Retegui
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target39%
Musab Al Juwayr
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target3%
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target13%
N. Nández
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Shabab xG (home)1.59
Al-Qadisiyah FC xG (away)2.37

Average Possession

48.82% Possession 60.53%

Team Comparison Al Shabab vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

82.32% Pass accuracy 86.97%
373.62 Passes per match 526.65
0.19 Goals prevented 0.25
11.29 Fouls committed 12.26
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.33
1.84 Offsides 2.56
15.56 Tackles per match 15.32

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Shabab vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction analysis

Review Al Shabab vs Al-Qadisiyah FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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