Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Shabab vs Damac

Al Shabab vs Damac prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2025-10-25 14:55
Al Shabab
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Damac
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
25%
2
35%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al Shabab (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match2.12
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate76%

Damac (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Shabab
LWLLL
Damac
LWLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 71%
47% +1.5 6%
24% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
76% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al Shabab averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Damac averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
25%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Al Shabab(A) 3 - 1 Damac Home
Oct 2025 Al Shabab 1 - 1 Damac Draw
Feb 2025 Al Shabab 2 - 0 Damac Home
Oct 2024 Al Shabab(A) 0 - 1 Damac Away
Feb 2024 Al Shabab(A) 1 - 0 Damac Home

In the last 5 meetings, Al Shabab won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Al Shabab — unbeaten run (home)1
Al Shabab — scoring streak (home)9
Damac — winless run (away)4
Damac — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Shabab Win (1)40%
Draw (X)25%
Damac Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 71%
47% +1.5 6%
24% +2.5 6%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 29%
53% -1.5 94%
76% -2.5 94%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Al Shabab vs Damac — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Shabab — scored (home)1.65
Al Shabab — conceded (home)2.12
Damac — scored (away)0.82
Damac — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Al Shabab — BTTS matches (home)76%
Damac — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Shabab (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against5.4

Damac (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Shabab
8 10 8 15 17
Damac
14 5 10 13 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Shabab (home)

For1.9

Damac (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Al Shabab — total shots (home)14.4
Damac — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Al Shabab — on target (home)5.7
Damac — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Shabab

Inside the box8.32
Outside the box4.5

Damac

Inside the box6.24
Outside the box4.26

Player Shots Al Shabab

Y. Carrasco
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target52%
A. Hamed Allah
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target21%
Haroune Camara
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Carlos Júnior
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
Y. Adli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Damac

J. Okita
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Y. Meïté
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
V. Vada
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target6%
Abdullah Al Qahtani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Medina
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Shabab xG (home)1.59
Damac xG (away)0.92

Average Possession

48.82% Possession 46.79%

Team Comparison Al Shabab vs Damac

82.32% Pass accuracy 81.24%
373.62 Passes per match 363.88
0.19 Goals prevented -0.27
11.29 Fouls committed 10.85
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
1.84 Offsides 2.12
15.56 Tackles per match 13.53

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Shabab vs Damac prediction analysis

Review Al Shabab vs Damac with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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