Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Shabab vs NEOM

Al Shabab vs NEOM prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-01-14 17:30
Al Shabab
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
NEOM
Away

Prediction Summary

1
26%
X
23%
2
51%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al Shabab (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match2.12
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate76%

NEOM (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Shabab
LWLLL
NEOM
DLWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 71%
47% +1.5 41%
24% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
76% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al Shabab averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while NEOM averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
26%
Draw
23%
Away Win
51%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2026 Al Shabab(A) 1 - 2 NEOM Away
Jan 2026 Al Shabab 3 - 2 NEOM Home

In the last 2 meetings, Al Shabab won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Al Shabab — unbeaten run (home)1
Al Shabab — scoring streak (home)9
NEOM — winless run (away)3
NEOM — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Shabab Win (1)26%
Draw (X)23%
NEOM Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 71%
47% +1.5 41%
24% +2.5 18%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 29%
53% -1.5 59%
76% -2.5 82%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Al Shabab vs NEOM — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Shabab — scored (home)1.65
Al Shabab — conceded (home)2.12
NEOM — scored (away)1.35
NEOM — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Al Shabab — BTTS matches (home)76%
NEOM — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Shabab (home)

Corners for5.7
Corners against5.4

NEOM (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Shabab
8 10 8 15 17
NEOM
7 12 8 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Shabab (home)

For1.9

NEOM (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Al Shabab — total shots (home)14.4
NEOM — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

Al Shabab — on target (home)5.7
NEOM — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Shabab

Inside the box8.32
Outside the box4.5

NEOM

Inside the box8.12
Outside the box5

Player Shots Al Shabab

Y. Carrasco
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target52%
A. Hamed Allah
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target21%
Haroune Camara
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Carlos Júnior
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
Y. Adli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots NEOM

S. Benrahma
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Lacazette
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target23%
R. Messi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Abdulaziz Noor
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Shabab xG (home)1.59
NEOM xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

48.82% Possession 52.76%

Team Comparison Al Shabab vs NEOM

82.32% Pass accuracy 83.58%
373.62 Passes per match 412.61
0.19 Goals prevented 0.39
11.29 Fouls committed 11.48
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.15
1.84 Offsides 1.72
15.56 Tackles per match 15.58

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Shabab vs NEOM prediction analysis

Review Al Shabab vs NEOM with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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