Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Al Taawon vs Al Shabab

Al Taawon vs Al Shabab prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Pro League 2026-01-09 15:05
Al Taawon
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Al Shabab
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
23%
2
18%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Al Taawon (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

Al Shabab (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Al Taawon
LDLWL
Al Shabab
LWLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 53%
41% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 12%
12% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Medium.

Al Taawon averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while Al Shabab averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
23%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Al Taawon(A) 5 - 1 Al Shabab Home
Jan 2026 Al Taawon 2 - 0 Al Shabab Home
Feb 2025 Al Taawon 2 - 2 Al Shabab Draw
Sep 2024 Al Taawon(A) 0 - 1 Al Shabab Away
May 2024 Al Taawon 1 - 0 Al Shabab Home

In the last 5 meetings, Al Taawon won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Al Taawon — unbeaten run (home)1
Al Taawon — scoring streak (home)2
Al Shabab — winless run (away)5
Al Shabab — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Al Taawon Win (1)59%
Draw (X)23%
Al Shabab Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 53%
41% +1.5 24%
18% +2.5 12%
12% +3.5 6%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 47%
59% -1.5 76%
82% -2.5 88%
88% -3.5 94%
94% -4.5 100%

Al Taawon vs Al Shabab — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Al Taawon — scored (home)1.71
Al Taawon — conceded (home)1.41
Al Shabab — scored (away)0.94
Al Shabab — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Al Taawon — BTTS matches (home)65%
Al Shabab — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.594%
Under 6.56%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Al Taawon (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against3.4

Al Shabab (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Al Taawon
10 8 8 7 12
Al Shabab
8 10 8 15 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Al Taawon (home)

For2.1

Al Shabab (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Al Taawon — total shots (home)13.2
Al Shabab — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Al Taawon — on target (home)3.9
Al Shabab — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Al Taawon

Inside the box7.59
Outside the box4.21

Al Shabab

Inside the box8.32
Outside the box4.5

Player Shots Al Taawon

Roger Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target31%
M. Barrow
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Petkov
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Sultan Mandash
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Fulgini
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Al Shabab

Y. Carrasco
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target52%
A. Hamed Allah
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target21%
Haroune Camara
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Carlos Júnior
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
Y. Adli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Taawon xG (home)1.49
Al Shabab xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

52.09% Possession 48.82%

Team Comparison Al Taawon vs Al Shabab

84.74% Pass accuracy 82.32%
431.59 Passes per match 373.62
0.17 Goals prevented 0.19
11 Fouls committed 11.29
2.91 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
1.53 Offsides 1.84
14.71 Tackles per match 15.56

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Al Taawon vs Al Shabab prediction analysis

Review Al Taawon vs Al Shabab with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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